Serie A (Italy)

1. Inter — 25 points from 9 played (8 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 25 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: D W W W W.
2. Lazio — 25 points from 9 played (8 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 22 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
3. AS Roma — 21 points from 9 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost), 23 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: D D W D W.
4. Como — 20 points from 9 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 17 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: L D W W W.
5. AC Milan — 18 points from 9 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 18 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W D W W L.
6. Frosinone — 17 points from 9 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 22 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W L W D W.
7. Napoli — 14 points from 9 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 17 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: D W L D W.
8. Juventus — 14 points from 9 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W D L W L.
9. Torino — 13 points from 9 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D W W W L.
10. Cagliari — 13 points from 9 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 8 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W D L L L.
11. Bologna — 11 points from 9 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D W L W W.
12. Atalanta — 11 points from 9 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 16 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L W L D D.
13. Genoa — 10 points from 9 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 8 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L W L W W.
14. Lecce — 9 points from 9 played (3 won, 0 drawn, 6 lost), 10 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
15. Sassuolo — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 14 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L D L L L.
16. Monza — 7 points from 9 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 16 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W L W L L.
17. Udinese — 5 points from 9 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 9 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.
18. Fiorentina — 5 points from 9 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 11 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: D L L L D.
19. Parma — 5 points from 9 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 5 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: W L L L D.
20. Venezia — 3 points from 9 played (1 won, 0 drawn, 8 lost), 6 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 15 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Venezia — bottom-three risk up 1.9, to 73.9%.
• Monza — bottom-three risk up 1.1, to 36.9%.
• Fiorentina — bottom-three risk down 1, to 10.8%.
• Parma — bottom-three risk down 1, to 62.7%.
• Cagliari — bottom-three risk down 0.4, to 10.5%.

Season projection

Every one of the 290 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Inter — projected to finish on 86.4 points, from 25 after 9 played. Wins it 56.7%, finishes top four 95.4%, bottom three 0%.
2. AS Roma — projected to finish on 81.3 points, from 21 after 9 played. Wins it 27.4%, finishes top four 89.9%, bottom three 0%.
3. Como — projected to finish on 72.7 points, from 20 after 9 played. Wins it 5.2% (down 0.2), finishes top four 60.6%, bottom three 0%.
4. Lazio — projected to finish on 71.8 points, from 25 after 9 played. Wins it 5.9% (up 0.2), finishes top four 54.1%, bottom three 0%.
5. Napoli — projected to finish on 66.9 points, from 14 after 9 played. Wins it 1.4% (up 0.1), finishes top four 34.3%, bottom three 0%.
6. AC Milan — projected to finish on 64.7 points, from 18 after 9 played. Wins it 1.2%, finishes top four 24.8%, bottom three 0%.
7. Frosinone — projected to finish on 63.7 points, from 17 after 9 played. Wins it 1.8%, finishes top four 23.2%, bottom three 0.1%.
8. Juventus — projected to finish on 59 points, from 14 after 9 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top four 9.3%, bottom three 0.1%.
9. Atalanta — projected to finish on 56 points, from 11 after 9 played. Wins it 0.1% (down 0.1), finishes top four 5.4%, bottom three 0.3%.
10. Bologna — projected to finish on 51.6 points, from 11 after 9 played. Wins it 0.1%, finishes top four 2.1%, bottom three 1.4%.
11. Torino — projected to finish on 47.5 points, from 13 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.6%, bottom three 3.9%.
12. Genoa — projected to finish on 44 points, from 10 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 9%.
13. Fiorentina — projected to finish on 43.2 points, from 5 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 10.8%.
14. Cagliari — projected to finish on 43 points, from 13 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 10.5%.
15. Sassuolo — projected to finish on 41.1 points, from 8 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 15.5%.
16. Lecce — projected to finish on 35.5 points, from 9 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 36.7%.
17. Monza — projected to finish on 35.5 points, from 7 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 36.9%.
18. Udinese — projected to finish on 34.8 points, from 5 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 38.3%.
19. Parma — projected to finish on 30.1 points, from 5 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 62.7%.
20. Venezia — projected to finish on 27.3 points, from 3 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 73.9%.

Top scorers

1. A. Raimondo (Frosinone) — 8 goals.
2. Gustavo Varela (Monza) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
3. D. Malen (AS Roma) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
4. N. Krstović (Atalanta) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
5. M. Thuram (Inter) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
6. T. Douvikas (Como) — 5 goals.
7. D. Maldini (Cagliari) — 5 goals.
8. A. Rabiot (AC Milan) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
9. T. Noslin (Lazio) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
10. C. Adams (Torino) — 4 goals.
11. A. Cissè (AC Milan) — 4 goals.
12. Lautaro Martínez (Inter) — 4 goals.
13. K. De Bruyne (Napoli) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
14. G. Calò (Frosinone) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
15. G. Kvernadze (Frosinone) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
16. N. Paz (Como) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
17. G. Isaksen (Lazio) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
18. M. Soulé (AS Roma) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
19. J. Ekkelenkamp (Udinese) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
20. M. Baturina (Como) — 3 goals, 1 assist.