Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid: how the model saw it
Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid finished with Real Madrid winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Barcelona at 44%, and rated the actual result at 31%.
More →Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid finished with Real Madrid winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Barcelona at 44%, and rated the actual result at 31%.
More →Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–5 Velez Sarsfield finished with Velez Sarsfield winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 48%, though it expected 0-1 rather than 0–5.
More →Club Queretaro 1–3 Cruz Azul finished with Cruz Azul winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 41%, though it expected 1-2 rather than 1–3.
More →Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon finished with Paris Saint Germain winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 2-0, a scoreline it rated at 11%.
More →Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica finished with Benfica winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 51%, though it expected 0-1 rather than 1–2.
More →Our model leans to Coritiba here, but not by much: 43% (fair odds 2.33) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Flamengo here, but not by much: 59% (fair odds 1.69) against 25% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Union Santa Fe host Estudiantes La Plata in a game our model cannot separate: 36% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 35% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to AC Milan here, but not by much: 50% (fair odds 2.00) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Napoli here, but not by much: 54% (fair odds 1.85) against 23% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Inter go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 73%, which is fair odds of 1.37. Our published scoreline is 0-2 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Venezia 10% to win outright.
More →Liverpool 2–0 Brighton finished with Liverpool winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 38%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 2–0.
More →Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth finished with Bournemouth winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Manchester United at 46%, and rated the actual result at 29%.
More →Monterrey 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas finished with Guadalajara Chivas winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Monterrey at 36%, and rated the actual result at 36%.
More →Santos 1–1 Bahia finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Santos at 48%, and rated the actual result at 26%.
More →Sporting CP go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 65%, which is fair odds of 1.54. Our published scoreline is 2-0 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Academico Viseu 15% to win outright.
More →Our model leans to AC Milan here, but not by much: 51% (fair odds 1.96) against 26% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →AS Roma go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 65%, which is fair odds of 1.54. Our published scoreline is 2-0 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Cagliari 12% to win outright.
More →Our model leans to Lazio here, but not by much: 44% (fair odds 2.27) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Como here, but not by much: 49% (fair odds 2.04) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
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