Denmark vs Wales: why the model makes it Denmark at 42%
Our model leans to Denmark here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Denmark here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Norway host Portugal in a game our model cannot separate: 35% for the home side, 28% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to Bulgaria here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →England host Spain in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 39% for the visitors.
More →Slovenia host Scotland in a game our model cannot separate: 36% for the home side, 30% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.
More →Italy host Belgium in a game our model cannot separate: 34% for the home side, 31% for the draw and 35% for the visitors.
More →Sweden host Romania in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 39% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to France here, but not by much: 50% (fair odds 2.00) against 26% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model gave Real Betis 36% at home to Real Madrid and Betis won. It gave Ipswich 40% against Liverpool and Liverpool won.
More →Across all eighteen Champions League opening fixtures our model gives exactly one team better than a 70% chance. The median favourite is 45%.
More →