Italy sit 2nd in the UEFA Nations League on 7 points from 4 matches, having scored 8 and conceded 5. On the model's scale they rate 1.43 in attack and 0.61 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): above the division's average at both ends. Across their last 4 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently beating Türkiye 3-1 at home. That is 1.75 points a match, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.25 per game across 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. That leaves them 3 points behind France at the top, in a table of 4. They scored in 3 of those 4 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host France in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November 2026, a match the model gives them 32%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | WWDW | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | LWDW | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | WLWL | 6 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | LLLL | 0 |
- Play-offs
- Possible play-offs
Italy sit 2 of 4, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W3-1Türkiye5 October 2026
- D1-1away to France2 October 2026
- W4-1away to Türkiye28 September 2026
- L0-2Belgium25 September 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Italy vs France
Italy host France on 12 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. The model makes it 32% Italy, 29% draw and 39% France, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.14 expected goals for Italy against 1.33. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Full preview and model analysis for Italy vs France
Recent meetings with France
- 2 October 2026France 1–1 ItalyUEFA Nations League
- 17 November 2024Italy 1–3 FranceUEFA Nations League
- 6 September 2024France 1–3 ItalyUEFA Nations League
- 1 June 2018France 3–1 ItalyFriendlies
- 17 June 2008France 0–2 ItalyEuro Championship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Head-to-head records
- Italy vs Belgium4W 1D 1L6 meetings
- Italy vs France2W 1D 2L5 meetings
- Italy vs Türkiye4W 1D 0L5 meetings
Italy's record against each club, over the meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026. All head-to-head records.