The model rates their attack at 1.74× the league average and their defence at 0.59× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — the model rates them above average at both ends. Next they travel to Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 50%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: France vs Türkiye
France travel to Türkiye on 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 50% France, 26% draw and 24% Türkiye, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 2.24 expected goals for France against 1.20. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Full preview and model analysis for France vs Türkiye