Bastia sit 10th in the Ligue 3 on 11 points from 9 matches, having scored 7 and conceded 11. On the model's scale they rate 0.55 in attack and 1.57 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Ligue 3 averages of 0.50 and 2.00: about average in attack, above it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Orleans 1-1 at home. That is 1.22 points a match, scoring 0.78 and conceding 1.22 per game across 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. That leaves them 7 points behind La Roche VF at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 8th-best attack and the 2nd-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Concarneau in the Ligue 3 on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 36%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | WDDWW | 18 |
| 2 | Rouen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | WDWWL | 17 |
| 3 | Caen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | LWWLW | 15 |
| 4 | Concarneau | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | DDWWD | 13 |
| 5 | Versailles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | LLWDW | 13 |
| 6 | Amiens | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:3 | +6 | WWDWD | 12 |
| 7 | Cannes | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | WWDDD | 12 |
| 8 | Thionville Lusitanos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | +1 | DDLDL | 12 |
| 9 | Gobelins | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | DDLDW | 12 |
| 10 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | LWDLD | 11 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | WDWDD | 10 |
| 12 | Le Puy Foot | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | +1 | LDLWL | 10 |
| 13 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | DLLDD | 9 |
| 14 | Fleury 91 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | LWWDL | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | DDLLW | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | WDLLW | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | LLLDD | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | LLDLL | 4 |
- Promotion to Ligue 2
- Relegation
Bastia sit 10 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D1-1Orleans1 October 2026
- L0-1away to Gobelins26 September 2026
- D1-1Cannes17 September 2026
- W1-0away to Bourg-en-bresse 0112 September 2026
- L0-3Amiens5 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Bastia vs Concarneau
Bastia travel to Concarneau at Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau on 17 October 2026, 12:45 UTC. The model makes it 36% Bastia, 31% draw and 33% Concarneau, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.22 expected goals for Bastia against 1.12. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Full preview and model analysis for Bastia vs Concarneau
Recent meetings with Concarneau
- 23 April 2024Bastia 2–0 ConcarneauLigue 2
- 5 August 2023Concarneau 0–0 BastiaLigue 2
- 5 March 2021Bastia 1–1 ConcarneauLigue 3
- 2 October 2020Concarneau 1–1 BastiaLigue 3
- 5 January 2019SC Bastia 4–4 ConcarneauCoupe de France
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.