Aubagne sit 16th in the Ligue 3 on 7 points from 8 matches, having scored 5 and conceded 9. On the model's scale they rate 0.40 in attack and 2.17 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Ligue 3 averages of 0.50 and 2.00: below the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently beating Fleury 91 2-1 away. That is 0.88 points a match, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.13 per game across 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. That leaves them 11 points behind La Roche VF at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 16th-best attack and the 14th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they travel to La Roche VF in the Ligue 3 on 3 October 2026, a match the model gives them 20%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | WDDWW | 18 |
| 2 | Rouen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | WDWWL | 17 |
| 3 | Caen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | LWWLW | 15 |
| 4 | Concarneau | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | DDWWD | 13 |
| 5 | Versailles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | LLWDW | 13 |
| 6 | Amiens | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:3 | +6 | WWDWD | 12 |
| 7 | Cannes | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | WWDDD | 12 |
| 8 | Thionville Lusitanos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | +1 | DDLDL | 12 |
| 9 | Gobelins | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | DDLDW | 12 |
| 10 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | LWDLD | 11 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | WDWDD | 10 |
| 12 | Le Puy Foot | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | +1 | LDLWL | 10 |
| 13 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | DLLDD | 9 |
| 14 | Fleury 91 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | LWWDL | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | DDLLW | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | WDLLW | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | LLLDD | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | LLDLL | 4 |
- Promotion to Ligue 2
- Relegation
Aubagne sit 16 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W2-1away to Fleury 9126 September 2026
- L0-1away to Rouen19 September 2026
- L1-2Concarneau12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Gobelins5 September 2026
- W2-0Bourg-en-bresse 0129 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Aubagne vs La Roche VF
Aubagne travel to La Roche VF on 3 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 20% Aubagne, 27% draw and 53% La Roche VF, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0. It projects 0.81 expected goals for Aubagne against 2.01. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Full preview and model analysis for Aubagne vs La Roche VF