Kisvarda FC vs Ujpest NB I prediction & result
Final score: Kisvarda FC 2-4 Ujpest.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Kisvarda FC, 25% draw, 23% Ujpest — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Kisvarda FC at 52%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kisvarda FC vs Ujpest
Line-ups
- 23Ilya PopovichG
- 6Maksym OstrovkaD
- 26Nikola RadmanovacD
- 4Martin ChlumeckýD
- 10Dominik SoltészD
- 80Hianga'a M'BockM
- 27Jasmin MešanovićM
- 14Bogdan MelnykM
- 24Christián HercM
- 77Ákos ÉsikM
- 45Teslim Abdulateef BalogunF
- 1Marcell KovácsG
- 32Zsombor PappG
- 18Kevin KörmendiM
- 5Bálint OláhM
- 70Levente SzőrM
- 7Anatoliy NurievM
- 11Marko MatanovićM
- 55Krisztián NagyF
- 29Bence BíróF
- 1Péter SzappanosG
- 2János BodnárD
- 3HeitorD
- 94Patrizio StronatiD
- 36Ferenc UjváryD
- 10Arne MaierM
- 88Matija LjujićM
- 27Ábel György KrajcsovicsM
- 14Etienne AmenyidoM
- 11Krisztofer HorváthM
- 39Gleofilo VlijterF
- 23Dávid BanaiG
- 32Dávid DombóG
- 30João NunesD
- 5Attila FiolaD
- 21Tizian-Valentino ScharmerD
- 15Miron MucsányiM
- 18Tom LacouxM
- 77Noah FenyőM
- 45Arijan AdemiM
Form going into Kisvarda FC vs Ujpest
Kisvarda FC
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Puskas Academy31 July 2026
- D1-1Budapest Honved25 July 2026
Ujpest
All competitions we cover
- W4-2Debreceni VSC2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Nyiregyhaza24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kisvarda FC | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 6 | Ujpest | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kisvarda FC vs Ujpest
- 14 March 2026Ujpest 2–1 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 30 November 2025Kisvarda FC 3–0 UjpestNB I
- 15 August 2025Ujpest 0–1 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 13 April 2024Kisvarda FC 4–1 UjpestNB I
- 16 December 2023Kisvarda FC 4–0 UjpestNB I
Leading scorers: Kisvarda FC and Ujpest
Kisvarda FC
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Ujpest
GoalsAssists
- A. Matko63
- E. Amenyido45
- G. Vlijter32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ujpest won 4–2 at Kisvarda FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Kisvarda FC at 52% and given a win for Ujpest 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: G. Vlijter 5' for Ujpest, C. Herc 15' for Kisvarda FC, Heitor 32' for Ujpest, E. Amenyido 78' for Ujpest, M. Matanovic 85' for Kisvarda FC, A. Matko 90+2' for Ujpest.