Žilina
vs
Zemplín Michalovce
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Žilina 2–1 Zemplín Michalovce
The model makes it 56% Žilina, 24% draw, 20% Zemplín Michalovce — fair odds of 1.79, 4.17 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Žilina 2.03, Zemplín Michalovce 1.01.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to Žilina: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Žilina are 3rd on 21 points from 10 games; Zemplín Michalovce are 7th on 13 points from 10 games — Super Liga.
- Žilina are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 2-2 draw away to Ružomberok.
- Zemplín Michalovce have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat at home to Dunajska Streda.
- Last 6 meetings: Žilina 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 2 August 2026, ended Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 Žilina.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Žilina at 56% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce
Žilina
- D2-2away to Ružomberok11 October 2026
- W2-1AS Trencin19 September 2026
- D3-3away to Slovan Bratislava13 September 2026
- W3-1Podbrezová5 September 2026
- W3-1away to Spartak Trnava30 August 2026
Zemplín Michalovce
- L0-3Dunajska Streda10 October 2026
- W1-0Dukla Banská Bystrica19 September 2026
- L0-3away to Ružomberok12 September 2026
- W3-1AS Trencin5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Slovan Bratislava30 August 2026
What these results say
- Žilina went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Žilina scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Žilina conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Zemplín Michalovce conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Zemplín Michalovce had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Žilina | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 21 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Žilina
Chance to finish in the top four · 85% today
Zemplín Michalovce
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 11% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce
- 2 August 2026Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga
- 5 May 2026Žilina 3–2 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 4 April 2026Zemplín Michalovce 2–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga
- 8 November 2025Žilina 2–0 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 9 August 2025Zemplín Michalovce 2–4 ŽilinaSuper Liga
- 9 November 2024Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga
The two sides
Žilina carry a model rating of 6.47 against 6.26 for Zemplín Michalovce. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.03 goals for Žilina and 1.01 for Zemplín Michalovce. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Žilina rate 0.79 in attack and 1.74 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Zemplín Michalovce rate 0.48 and 1.58.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Žilina a 4.8% chance of the title and Zemplín Michalovce 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Žilina the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.03 expected goals for Žilina against 1.01 for Zemplín Michalovce. Žilina's attack/defence rating is 0.79/1.74 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.58 for Zemplín Michalovce.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Žilina at home · Zemplín Michalovce away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Žilina 10, Zemplín Michalovce 10.
Žilina score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Zemplín Michalovce have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Žilina
- at Skalica7 Nov · Super Ligawin 45%
- vs Dukla Banská Bystrica21 Nov · Super Ligawin 65%
- at Komárno28 Nov · Super Ligawin 43%
Zemplín Michalovce
- at Komárno8 Nov · Super Ligawin 31%
- vs Spartak Trnava21 Nov · Super Ligawin 28%
- at Skalica28 Nov · Super Ligawin 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.