Podbrezová
vs
Slovan Bratislava
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Podbrezová 1–2 Slovan Bratislava
The model makes it 25% Podbrezová, 26% draw, 49% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 4.00, 3.85 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Podbrezová 1.15, Slovan Bratislava 1.83.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium.
One-sided: Slovan Bratislava are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Podbrezová are 5th on 14 points from 10 games; Slovan Bratislava are 4th on 20 points from 10 games — Super Liga.
- Podbrezová have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat at home to Spartak Trnava.
- Slovan Bratislava are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Spartak Trnava.
- Last 6 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 6 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 1 August 2026, ended Slovan Bratislava 3–0 Podbrezová.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Bratislava at 49% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava
Podbrezová
- L1-3Spartak Trnava11 October 2026
- W1-0away to Skalica20 September 2026
- D1-1Komárno13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Žilina5 September 2026
- D2-2FK Košice29 August 2026
Slovan Bratislava
- W3-0away to Spartak Trnava17 October 2026
- D1-1away to Skalica10 October 2026
- W2-1away to Komárno19 September 2026
- D3-3Žilina13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Dunajska Streda5 September 2026
What these results say
- Podbrezová scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Podbrezová failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Podbrezová conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Podbrezová | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Podbrezová
Chance to finish in the top four · 13% today
Slovan Bratislava
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 20% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava
- 1 August 2026Slovan Bratislava 3–0 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 9 May 2026Podbrezová 1–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 22 March 2026Slovan Bratislava 2–0 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 1 November 2025Podbrezová 1–3 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 2 August 2025Slovan Bratislava 4–1 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 10 May 2025Podbrezová 1–3 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
The two sides
Podbrezová carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.7 for Slovan Bratislava. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.15 goals for Podbrezová and 1.83 for Slovan Bratislava. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Podbrezová rate 0.62 in attack and 1.81 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Slovan Bratislava rate 0.84 and 1.14.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Podbrezová a 0.1% chance of the title and Slovan Bratislava 20.3%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slovan Bratislava the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.15 expected goals for Podbrezová against 1.83 for Slovan Bratislava. Podbrezová's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.81 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.84/1.14 for Slovan Bratislava.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Podbrezová at home · Slovan Bratislava away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Podbrezová 10, Slovan Bratislava 10.
Podbrezová score most often in the 61–75 minute window (4 goals); Slovan Bratislava have let in 0 there.
Slovan Bratislava score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Podbrezová have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Podbrezová
- vs Ružomberok8 Nov · Super Ligawin 53%
- at AS Trencin21 Nov · Super Ligawin 37%
- vs Dunajska Streda28 Nov · Super Ligawin 23%
Slovan Bratislava
- at Lask Linz3 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 28%
- vs AS Trencin7 Nov · Super Ligawin 74%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.