Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Widzew Łódź 0-0 Radomiak Radom.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Widzew Łódź, 28% draw, 30% Radomiak Radom — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Widzew Łódź at 42% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1B. DragowskiG
- 91M. KrajewskiD
- 25P. WisniewskiD
- 3S. KapuadiD
- 40M. GarciaD
- 5G. PapanikolaouM
- 79S. BiukM
- 10F. AlvarezM
- 80Dani SilvaM
- 7M. FornalczykM
- 28K. SwiderskiF
- 30V. IlicG
- 4M. ZyroD
- 14R. VisusD
- 98Paulinho BoiaF
- 18L. SelahiM
- 19D. MalesM
- 8E. KornvigM
- 20A. KlukowskiM
- 99S. BergierF
- 1F. MajchrowiczG
- 24Zie OuattaraD
- 3K. SzczesniakD
- 72F. KoperskiD
- 13J. GrzesikD
- 77C. DonisM
- 90R. Lumungo
- 27R. WolskiM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 97ConradoM
- 80Guilherme LuizF
- 99B. GradeckiG
- 14S. KingueD
- 33O. MarkiewiczD
- 28R. BaroM
- 8I. CamaraM
- 23K. KarasekM
- 11F. GoureF
- 7C. NunnelyF
- 15A. TapsobaF
Form going into Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
- L2-3Lech Poznan30 August 2026
- D3-3away to Slask Wroclaw22 August 2026
Radomiak Radom
- W2-1Cracovia Krakow29 August 2026
- D0-0Zaglebie Lubin23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Widzew Łódź | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
- 5 September 2026Widzew Łódź 0–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 18 April 2026Radomiak Radom 2–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 17 October 2025Widzew Łódź 3–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 28 February 2025Radomiak Radom 1–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 23 August 2024Widzew Łódź 3–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 25 May 2024Radomiak Radom 1–3 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.