Widzew Łódź
vs
Radomiak Radom
Ekstraklasa prediction
The model makes it 75% Widzew Łódź, 15% draw, 10% Radomiak Radom — fair odds of 1.33, 6.67 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Widzew Łódź 2.86, Radomiak Radom 1.02.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 74%, under 2.5: 26%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Widzew Łódź
- L1-2Korona Kielce15 August 2026
- W2-0away to Jagiellonia9 August 2026
- D0-0away to Wisla Plock31 July 2026
- D2-2Motor Lublin26 July 2026
Radomiak Radom
- L0-5away to Legia Warszawa14 August 2026
- L1-3Gornik Zabrze8 August 2026
- L1-3away to GKS Katowice2 August 2026
- W2-1Wieczysta Kraków24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
- 18 April 2026Radomiak Radom 2–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 17 October 2025Widzew Łódź 3–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 28 February 2025Radomiak Radom 1–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 23 August 2024Widzew Łódź 3–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 25 May 2024Radomiak Radom 1–3 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 13 January 2024Radomiak Radom 2–2 Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs
The two sides
Widzew Łódź carry a model rating of 6.65 against 6.29 for Radomiak Radom. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Widzew Łódź D-D-W-L; Radomiak Radom W-L-L-L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.86 goals for Widzew Łódź and 1.02 for Radomiak Radom. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Widzew Łódź rate 0.81 in attack and 1.20 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Radomiak Radom rate 0.61 and 1.87.
That points to 74% for over two and a half goals and 61% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Widzew Łódź the highest probability at 75%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.86 expected goals for Widzew Łódź against 1.02 for Radomiak Radom. Widzew Łódź's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.87 for Radomiak Radom.