West Brom vs Burnley Championship prediction & result
Final score: West Brom 3-1 Burnley.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% West Brom, 26% draw, 32% Burnley — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
West Brom at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — West Brom vs Burnley
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Max O'LearyG
- 25Nolan GalvesD
- 3Nathaniel PhillipsD
- 6George CampbellD
- 4Callum StylesD
- 29Harry WhitwellM
- 8Jayson MolumbyM
- 17Ousmane DiakitéM
- 21Isaac PriceM
- 7Felix Horn MyhreF
- 11Jimmy MorganF
- 9Barney StewartF
- 20Rabby NzingoulaM
- 2Chris MephamD
- 13Matt IngramG
- 28Alex WilliamsD
- 5Krystian BielikD
- 22Conor TownsendD
- 37Oliver BostockF
- 23Tammer BanyF
- 1Max WeissG
- 22Oliver SonneD
- 2Kyle WalkerD
- 3Max AlleyneD
- 6Bashir HumphreysD
- 29Josh LaurentM
- 28Hannibal MejbriM
- 10Marcus EdwardsM
- 21Aaron RamseyM
- 7Jacob Bruun LarsenM
- 27Armando BrojaF
- 14Connor RobertsD
- 8Ugo RaghouberM
- 11Zeki AmdouniF
- 12Dastan SatpaevF
- 23Lucas PiresD
- 37Grégoire CoudertG
- 15Anel AhmedhodžićD
- 4Joe WorrallD
- 31Mike TrésorF
Form going into West Brom vs Burnley
West Brom
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Norwich15 August 2026
Burnley
All competitions we cover
- D2-2West Ham16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 22 | Burnley | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: West Brom vs Burnley
- 11 March 2025Burnley 1–1 West BromChampionship
- 7 November 2024West Brom 0–0 BurnleyChampionship
- 20 January 2023Burnley 2–1 West BromChampionship
- 2 September 2022West Brom 1–1 BurnleyChampionship
- 20 February 2021Burnley 0–0 West BromPremier League
Leading scorers: West Brom and Burnley
West Brom
GoalsAssists
- I. Price63
- J. Morgan54
Burnley
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 22 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
West Brom beat Burnley 3–1. The model had made a win for West Brom its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: C. Styles (own goal) 8' for Burnley, H. Whitwell 18' for West Brom, I. Price 46' for West Brom, I. Price (penalty) 65' for West Brom. On expected goals it finished 1.64–1.15.