Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Al Ahly 2-0 Abu Qair Semad.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Al Ahly, 29% draw, 23% Abu Qair Semad — fair odds of 2.08, 3.45 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Egyptian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Ahly at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad
Line-ups
- 1Mohamed El ShenawyG
- 12Akram TawfikD
- 5Hady ReyadD
- 2Yassin MareiD
- 28Karim FouadD
- 15Omar El SaeeyM
- 13Marwan AttiaM
- 25ZizoM
- 22Emam AshourM
- 17A. BencharkiM
- 9S. BenjdidaF
- 8Ahmed HashemD
- 7Taher MohamedF
- 24Tawfik MohamedF
- 19Mohamed Magdi KafshaM
- 31Mostafa ShobeirG
- 3A. DariD
- 14Hussein El ShahatM
- 30Mohamed HanyD
- 10M. BakrarF
- 1M. GeneshG
- 6M. AlaaD
- 20Ahmed AwadD
- 4M. DabashD
- 27Ahmed DaheshD
- 7Mohamed AshrafM
- 30Y. HamdiM
- 14R. MiladM
- 15O. IbrahimM
- 38Mohamed CamaraF
- 29Ali HusseinF
- 5Ahmed FayezD
- 8E. HamdiM
- 9Mahmoud Abou GoudaF
- 12I. AshrafD
- 24A. El GazarD
- 22Ahmed KhaledM
- 21Seif ShikaF
- 25Mohamed Zakaria ShikaG
- 13Glid OtangaM
Form going into Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad
Al Ahly
Premier League
- D1-1away to El Mokawloon9 September 2026
Abu Qair Semad
Premier League
- L0-2away to Zamalek SC8 September 2026
- L0-2Al Ittihad Alexandria2 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 19 | Abu Qair Semad | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad
- 21 November 2020Al Ahly 2–1 Abu Qair SemadCup
Leading scorers: Al Ahly and Abu Qair Semad
Al Ahly
GoalsAssists
- Zizo31
- A. Bencharki20
Abu Qair Semad
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Ahly beat Abu Qair Semad 2–0. The model had made a win for Al Ahly its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Zizo Sayed 16' for Al Ahly, Hussein El Shahat 90+3' for Al Ahly.
How the call on Al Ahly v Abu Qair Semad has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 48% / 29% / 23%: the biggest move is Al Ahly's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Al Ahly win48%▲ +5
- Draw29%=
- Abu Qair Semad win23%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.