Al Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Al Masry 0-2 Al Ittihad Alexandria.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Al Masry, 29% draw, 29% Al Ittihad Alexandria — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Masry at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
Line-ups
- 16Mahmoud HamdyG
- 7Karim El ErakiD
- 2B. El MohamadyD
- 33Mostafa Al AashD
- 3Mohamed ShokryD
- 30A. DeghmoumM
- 6Mohamed MakhloufM
- 14Mahmoud HamadaM
- 21A. SuliemanM
- 17Youssef El GoharyF
- 9Salah MohsenF
- 4Yassin El MallahM
- 11Mohamed El ShamyF
- 15Ahmed El ArmoutyM
- 18A. SawaftaM
- 1Essam TharwatG
- 20K. ToualM
- 10Karim BamboF
- 5Khaled SobhyD
- 27A. ZianiM
- 1Sobhi SolimanG
- 24Momen AwadD
- 7Mohamed Mostafa MidoD
- 5Mostafa IbrahimD
- 30K. MosaadD
- 44K. SemakulaM
- 8Mohamed ToniM
- 35Pascal PhiriM
- 23I. SaviourM
- 80Joseph ArumalaM
- 10Hossam HassanF
- 14Mohamed FakhryM
- 18J. EbukaF
- 11Youssry WahidF
- 21Ahmed HamdiM
- 25Mahmoud EmadM
- 16Ahmed El ArabiG
- 22Nour AlaaM
- 4Islam AbdallahD
- 12Momen SherifD
Form going into Al Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
Al Masry
Premier League
- L1-2away to Petrojet7 September 2026
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Premier League
- W1-0Asyut Petrol7 September 2026
- W2-0away to Abu Qair Semad2 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Masry | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
- 11 December 2025Al Ittihad Alexandria 0–0 Al MasryLeague Cup
- 8 August 2025Al Masry 3–1 Al Ittihad AlexandriaPremier League
- 8 February 2025Al Ittihad Alexandria 1–2 Al MasryPremier League
- 18 August 2024Al Ittihad Alexandria 0–2 Al MasryPremier League
- 4 April 2024Al Masry 2–3 Al Ittihad AlexandriaPremier League
Leading scorers: Al Masry and Al Ittihad Alexandria
Al Masry
GoalsAssists
- Salah Mohsen40
Al Ittihad Alexandria
GoalsAssists
- Hossam Hassan40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Ittihad Alexandria won 2–0 at Al Masry. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Masry at 42% and given a win for Al Ittihad Alexandria 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Baher El Mohamady (own goal) 58' for Al Ittihad Alexandria, John Okoye Ebuka 90+5' for Al Ittihad Alexandria.
How the call on Al Masry v Al Ittihad Alexandria has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 50% / 27% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 42% / 29% / 29%: the biggest move is Al Masry's chance of winning, down 8 points.
- Al Masry win42%▼ −8
- Draw29%▲ +2
- Al Ittihad Alexandria win29%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.