Regular Season - 8 · 25 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos Super League 1 prediction

Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos

Our model says: Volos NFC 0–2 Panathinaikos

The model makes it 14% Volos NFC, 22% draw, 64% Panathinaikos — fair odds of 7.14, 4.55 and 1.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (12%).

Expected goals: Volos NFC 0.81, Panathinaikos 2.26.

Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.

Model confidence: High.

One-sided: Panathinaikos are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published · updated

Key facts

  • Volos NFC are bottom on null points from 6 games; Panathinaikos are top on 15 points from 6 games — Super League 1.
  • Volos NFC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Aris Thessalonikis.
  • Panathinaikos have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Olympiakos Piraeus.
  • Last 6 meetings: Panathinaikos 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 14 December 2025, ended Panathinaikos 2–1 Volos NFC.

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos

50%
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Volos NFC win Draw Panathinaikos win
  1. 0–212%
  2. 0–110%
  3. 1–210%
  4. 0–39%
  5. 1–19%
  6. 1–37%
  7. 0–05%

Scores read Volos NFC first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 38%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Panathinaikos at 64% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos

Volos NFC

  • L2-3away to Aris Thessalonikis11 October 2026
  • L1-2AEK Athens FC20 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Kalamata13 September 2026
  • D1-1Olympiakos Piraeus5 September 2026
  • D1-1Iraklis 190829 August 2026

Panathinaikos

  • L0-1away to Olympiakos Piraeus11 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Kalamata20 September 2026
  • W3-0Panetolikos13 September 2026
  • W3-1Kifisia10 September 2026
  • W3-1PAOK6 September 2026

What these results say

  • Volos NFC did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Volos NFC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Volos NFC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Panathinaikos won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Panathinaikos scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Volos NFC6024612-6
1Panathinaikos6501123+915

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Volos NFC

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 87% today

Win 82%
Draw 86%
Defeat 89%

Panathinaikos

Chance to finish top of the regular season · 31% today

Win 34%
Draw 25%
Defeat 20%

From our Super League 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.

Head-to-head: Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos

  • 14 December 2025Panathinaikos 2–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 1 November 2025Volos NFC 1–0 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
  • 16 February 2025Panathinaikos 2–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 3 November 2024Volos NFC 0–1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
  • 20 December 2023Volos NFC 0–3 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
  • 26 August 2023Panathinaikos 3–0 Volos NFCSuper League 1

Leading scorers: Volos NFC and Panathinaikos

Volos NFC

GoalsAssists

  • M. González20

Panathinaikos

GoalsAssists

  • V. Taborda31
  • A. Tetteh30

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

A clear gap in the ratings

Volos NFC carry a model rating of 6.38 against 6.99 for Panathinaikos. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 0.81 goals for Volos NFC and 2.26 for Panathinaikos. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Volos NFC rate 0.68 in attack and 1.75 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Panathinaikos rate 1.08 and 0.82.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Volos NFC a 0% chance of the title and Panathinaikos 30.7%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Panathinaikos the highest probability at 64%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.81 expected goals for Volos NFC against 2.26 for Panathinaikos. Volos NFC's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.75 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.08/0.82 for Panathinaikos.

Season stats

Volos NFCPanathinaikos
6Matches6
0W 2D 4LRecord5W 0D 1L
6 1.0 per gameGoals scored12 2.0 per game
12 2.0 per gameGoals conceded3 0.5 per game
0 of 6Clean sheets3 of 6
1 of 6Failed to score1 of 6
–Penalties scored1 of 2
23 3.8 per gameYellow cards17 2.8 per game
2Red cards1
4-2-3-1 4×Usual shape4-2-3-1 3×

Volos NFC at home · Panathinaikos away

3Played3
0W 2D 1LRecord2W 0D 1L
3–4Goals for – against3–1
0 of 3Clean sheets2 of 3

League matches only, Super League 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Position by match

Volos NFCPanathinaikos

151014 Volos NFC, match 1, 23 August 2026: at OFI 2-0 → 14thVolos NFC, match 2, 29 August 2026: vs Iraklis 1908 1-1 → 14thVolos NFC, match 3, 5 September 2026: vs Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 → 10thVolos NFC, match 4, 13 September 2026: at Kalamata 3-1 → 12thVolos NFC, match 5, 20 September 2026: vs AEK Athens FC 1-2 → 14thVolos NFC, match 6, 11 October 2026: at Aris Thessalonikis 3-2 → 14thPanathinaikos, match 1, 31 August 2026: at Levadiakos 0-2 → 6thPanathinaikos, match 2, 6 September 2026: vs PAOK 3-1 → 4thPanathinaikos, match 3, 10 September 2026: vs Kifisia 3-1 → 1stPanathinaikos, match 4, 13 September 2026: vs Panetolikos 3-0 → 1stPanathinaikos, match 5, 20 September 2026: at Kalamata 0-1 → 1stPanathinaikos, match 6, 11 October 2026: at Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 → 1st 123456 151014 Volos NFC, match 1, 23 August 2026: at OFI 2-0 → 14thVolos NFC, match 2, 29 August 2026: vs Iraklis 1908 1-1 → 14thVolos NFC, match 3, 5 September 2026: vs Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 → 10thVolos NFC, match 4, 13 September 2026: at Kalamata 3-1 → 12thVolos NFC, match 5, 20 September 2026: vs AEK Athens FC 1-2 → 14thVolos NFC, match 6, 11 October 2026: at Aris Thessalonikis 3-2 → 14thPanathinaikos, match 1, 31 August 2026: at Levadiakos 0-2 → 6thPanathinaikos, match 2, 6 September 2026: vs PAOK 3-1 → 4thPanathinaikos, match 3, 10 September 2026: vs Kifisia 3-1 → 1stPanathinaikos, match 4, 13 September 2026: vs Panetolikos 3-0 → 1stPanathinaikos, match 5, 20 September 2026: at Kalamata 0-1 → 1stPanathinaikos, match 6, 11 October 2026: at Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 → 1st 123456

Volos NFC are 14th after 6 Super League 1 matches (between 10th and 14th so far); Panathinaikos are 1st after 6 (between 1st and 6th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored. Points deductions (Volos NFC −2) count from the first match.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Super League 1 matches this season: Volos NFC 6, Panathinaikos 6.

Volos NFC scored 110104
Panathinaikos conceded 101011

Volos NFC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Panathinaikos have let in 1 there.

Panathinaikos scored 113204
Volos NFC conceded 123113

Panathinaikos score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Volos NFC have let in 3 there.

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Volos NFC

  • at Atromitos2 Nov · Super League 1win 22%
  • vs Kifisia7 Nov · Super League 1win 34%
  • at Panetolikos22 Nov · Super League 1win 27%
  • vs Asteras Tripolis28 Nov · Super League 1win 36%

Panathinaikos

  • vs AEK Athens FC1 Nov · Super League 1win 32%
  • vs CSKA Sofia5 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 66%

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.