Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Karlsruher SC 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Karlsruher SC, 28% draw, 30% 1. FC Nürnberg — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Karlsruher SC at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg
Line-ups
- 1H. BernatG
- 36Rafael Pinto PedrosaD
- 28M. FrankeD
- 22C. KobaldD
- 3D. OfliD
- 25L. EgloffM
- 26D. H. ZorM
- 10M. WanitzekM
- 33V. BerghM
- 13S. FukudaF
- 19Louey Ben FarhatF
- 30R. HimmelmannG
- 11N. EichingerF
- 23T. CivejaM
- 27J. D. MeyerF
- 37J. PonenteF
- 15Paul SchollD
- 24S. TrémouletD
- 6S. VäänänenM
- 4HélitonD
- 1J. ReichertG
- 32T. JanischD
- 4A. KalogeropoulosD
- 20F. OttoD
- 41E. PorstnerD
- 6A. MarhievM
- 8J. FernandezM
- 10J. JustvanM
- 22F. BeckerM
- 23M. ZomaM
- 19P. ScobelF
- 11W. BøvingF
- 14andrea ceresoliD
- 7R. GhriebF
- 9S. HaugenF
- 13Robin LisewskiG
- 18Rafael LubachM
- 36K. MandicD
- 16Marko SoldicM
- 43T. HessD
Form going into Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg
Karlsruher SC
2. Bundesliga
- L0-3Energie Cottbus13 September 2026
1. FC Nürnberg
2. Bundesliga
- W2-1Hannover 9611 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 8 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg
- 13 February 20261. FC Nürnberg 5–1 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
- 13 September 2025Karlsruher SC 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
- 19 January 20251. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
- 3 August 2024Karlsruher SC 3–2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
- 28 April 2024FC Nurnberg 0–1 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Karlsruher SC and 1. FC Nürnberg
Karlsruher SC
GoalsAssists
- S. Fukuda32
1. FC Nürnberg
GoalsAssists
- M. Zoma70
- P. Scobel51
- A. Marhiev32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
1. FC Nürnberg won 1–0 at Karlsruher SC. The model had leaned towards a win for Karlsruher SC at 42% and given a win for 1. FC Nürnberg 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Mohamed Alì Zoma 30' for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.