18 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Full time1 – 1

Final score: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 28% draw, 29% 1. FC Magdeburg — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SpVgg Greuther Fürth5%Draw92%1. FC Magdeburg3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽Emmanuel Iyohaassist: Herbert Bockhorn
⚽Omar Sillahassist: Felix Klaus
20'
•Omar Sillah
20'
Jannis Heuer
33'
57'
Luka Hyryläinen
66'
🔁Luka Hyryläinenout: Felipe Chávez
66'
🔁Alexander Nollenbergerout: Richmond Tachie
🔁Shinta Karl Appelkampout: Dennis Srbeny
66'
🔁Sacha Banseout: Faton Ademi
66'
Paul Will
74'
🔁Ole Pohlmannout: Aaron Keller
76'
Dennis Srbeny
79'
🔁Hendry. Blankout: Krisztián Keresztes
81'
83'
🔁Herbert Bockhornout: Pierre Nadjombe
83'
🔁Moritz-Broni Kwartengout: Magnus Elias Walther Baars
89'
🔁Mateusz Zukowskiout: Roko Simic

Match stats — SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg

44%Possession56%
8Shots14
4On target6
3Corners5

Line-ups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-4-2
  • 1Florian HellsternG
  • 2Lukas ReichD
  • 22J. HeuerD
  • 34Hendry Aron BlankD
  • 27G. ItterD
  • 8S. AppelkampM
  • 13P. WillM
  • 6S. BanséM
  • 10Ole PohlmannM
  • 30F. KlausF
  • 42O. SillahF
Substitutes
  • 28D. ArifiM
  • 4Elias BenkaraD
  • 23J. DehmD
  • 9J. SiebatcheuF
  • 37F. AdemiM
  • 11A. KellerM
  • 29K. KeresztesD
  • 43Silas Joel PrüfrockG
  • 7D. SrbenyF
Coach: H. Vogel
1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
  • 1D. ReimannG
  • 7H. BockhornD
  • 5T. MüllerD
  • 3A. MacNultyD
  • 17A. NollenbergerD
  • 26T. MüselM
  • 38L. HyryläinenM
  • 21F. MichelM
  • 8E. IyohaF
  • 22M. ŻukowskiF
  • 10M. KwartengF
Substitutes
  • 35Magnus Elias BaarsF
  • 11F. ChávezM
  • 4E. DžogovićD
  • 15D. HeberD
  • 30N. KruthG
  • 33Leon MergnerM
  • 28P. NadjombeD
  • 9R. ŠimićF
  • 29R. TachieF
Coach: P. Sander

Form going into SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga

  • D1-1away to VfL Bochum12 September 2026

1. FC Magdeburg

2. Bundesliga

  • W3-01. FC Kaiserslautern12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12SpVgg Greuther Fürth92341216-49
51. FC Magdeburg95132012+816

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg

  • 6 February 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4–5 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
  • 31 August 20251. FC Magdeburg 4–5 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • 8 March 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
  • 6 October 20241. FC Magdeburg 2–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • 10 May 2024FC Magdeburg 0–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

GoalsAssists

  • F. Klaus71

1. FC Magdeburg

GoalsAssists

  • E. Iyoha60
  • M. Żukowski50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 43% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Emmanuel Iyoha 5' for 1. FC Magdeburg, Omar Sillah 20' for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.