Venezia
vs
Inter
Serie A prediction
Our model says: Venezia 0–3 Inter
The model makes it 8% Venezia, 13% draw, 79% Inter — fair odds of 12.50, 7.69 and 1.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-3 (9%).
Expected goals: Venezia 0.88, Inter 3.45.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%, under 2.5: 20%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Inter are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
The full preview, with the complete head-to-head record →
Key facts
- Venezia are bottom on 0 points from 6 games; Inter are top on 16 points from 6 games — Serie A.
- Venezia have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat away to Atalanta.
- Inter are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-0 win at home to Parma.
- Last 5 meetings: Inter 5 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 3 December 2025, ended Inter 5–1 Venezia.
More Serie A predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Venezia vs Inter
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Inter at 79% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 307 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 62.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.2%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Venezia vs Inter
Venezia
- L1-3away to Atalanta12 October 2026
- L0-2Lazio19 September 2026
- L2-4Fiorentina11 September 2026
- L2-3away to Frosinone6 September 2026
- L0-2away to AC Milan28 August 2026
Inter
- W3-0Parma10 October 2026
- D2-2away to AS Roma19 September 2026
- W5-3Udinese14 September 2026
- W3-2Napoli5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Cagliari30 August 2026
What these results say
- Venezia did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Venezia conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Inter went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Inter scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Inter won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Venezia vs Inter
- 3 December 2025Inter 5–1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
- 12 January 2025Venezia 0–1 InterSerie A
- 3 November 2024Inter 1–0 VeneziaSerie A
- 22 January 2022Inter 2–1 VeneziaSerie A
- 27 November 2021Venezia 0–2 InterSerie A
Leading scorers: Venezia and Inter
Venezia
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Inter
GoalsAssists
- Lautaro Martínez40
- M. Thuram32
- H. Çalhanoğlu30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Venezia carry a model rating of 6.54 against 7.28 for Inter. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 0.88 goals for Venezia and 3.45 for Inter. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Venezia rate 0.80 in attack and 1.51 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Inter rate 1.82 and 0.79.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Venezia a 0% chance of the title and Inter 44.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Inter the highest probability at 79%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.88 expected goals for Venezia against 3.45 for Inter. Venezia's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.51 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.82/0.79 for Inter.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Venezia at home · Inter away
League matches only, Serie A, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
VeneziaInter
Venezia are 20th after 6 Serie A matches (between 18th and 20th so far); Inter are 1st after 6 (between 1st and 2nd). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Serie A matches this season: Venezia 6, Inter 6.
Inter score most often in the 46–60 minute window (5 goals); Venezia have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Venezia
- at Como1 Nov · Serie Awin 10%
- vs Udinese6 Nov · Serie Awin 24%
- at Juventus23 Nov · Serie Awin 9%
Inter
- at AC Milan31 Oct · Serie Awin 43%
- at Feyenoord3 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 40%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.