23 August 2026, 01:30 UTC

Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas Major League Soccer prediction & result

BC Place, Vancouver
Full time5 – 0

Final score: Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 FC Dallas.

Before kick-off the model made it 69% Vancouver Whitecaps, 19% draw, 12% FC Dallas — fair odds of 1.45, 5.26 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vancouver Whitecaps at 69%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vancouver Whitecaps99%Draw1%FC Dallas0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
Shaq Moore
⚽E. Sabbi
11'
⚽B. Whiteassist: E. Ocampo
23'
31'
Ran Binyamin
⚽B. White
37'
42'
Joshua Torquato
⚽E. Ocampoassist: A. Cubas
45'
🔁R. Prisoout: M. Laborda
46'
46'
🔁S. Sarverout: J. Valiente
46'
🔁R. Binyaminout: S. Moreno
46'
🔁N. Norrisout: B. Kamungo
46'
🔁L. Farringtonout: P. Musa
59'
Lalas Abubakar
🔁E. Sabbiout: B. Caicedo
62'
🔁B. Whiteout: R. Elloumi
62'
⚽B. Caicedoassist: T. Muller
68'
🔁R. Gauldout: C. Sabaly
72'
73'
🔁Ramiroout: Kaick
🔁T. Johnsonout: S. Adekugbe
83'
Mathías Laborda
90+3'
90'
•Kaick

Match stats — Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas

64%Possession36%
17Shots6
10On target1
9Corners3
1.37xG0.59

Goals against chances

Vancouver Whitecaps5 from 1.37 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Dallas0 from 0.59 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. TakaokaG
  • 18E. OcampoD
  • 33T. BlackmonD
  • 6R. PrisoD
  • 28T. JohnsonD
  • 8O. LarrazM
  • 20A. CubasM
  • 25R. GauldM
  • 13T. MullerM
  • 11E. SabbiM
  • 24B. WhiteF
Substitutes
  • 32I. BoehmerG
  • 29M. GherasimencovD
  • 3S. AdekugbeD
  • 2M. LabordaD
  • 14B. CaicedoF
  • 41N. DjordjevicD
  • 26J. NgandoM
  • 19R. ElloumiF
  • 7C. SabalyF
Coach: Jesper Sorensen
FC Dallas 3-4-1-2
  • 40J. SiroisG
  • 5L. AbubakarD
  • 25S. IbeaghaD
  • 32N. NorrisD
  • 18S. MooreM
  • 17RamiroM
  • 12C. CappisM
  • 24J. TorquatoM
  • 6R. BinyaminF
  • 28S. SarverF
  • 23L. FarringtonF
Substitutes
  • 30M. CollodiG
  • 14H. JohanssonM
  • 8P. DelgadoM
  • 21J. ValienteM
  • 33C. HolstadM
  • 55KaickM
  • 10S. MorenoF
  • 77B. KamungoF
  • 9P. MusaF
Coach: Eric Quill

Form going into Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Houston Dynamo20 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Seattle Sounders17 August 2026
  • D1-1Los Angeles FC1 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Minnesota United FC26 July 2026
  • L3-4away to FC Cincinnati22 July 2026

FC Dallas

All competitions we cover

  • W4-3away to Real Salt Lake20 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Austin17 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Los Angeles Galaxy2 August 2026
  • L0-1away to San Diego26 July 2026
  • D2-2away to Portland Timbers23 July 2026

What these results say

  • Vancouver Whitecaps failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Vancouver Whitecaps had two goals or fewer.
  • FC Dallas conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps3419787434+4064
2FC Dallas34161086251+1158

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas

  • 14 May 2026FC Dallas 2–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
  • 2 November 2025FC Dallas 1–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
  • 26 October 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
  • 19 October 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 1–2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
  • 16 March 2025FC Dallas 0–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
  • 8 September 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 0–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Vancouver Whitecaps and FC Dallas

Vancouver Whitecaps

GoalsAssists

  • B. White202

FC Dallas

GoalsAssists

  • P. Musa225

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Vancouver Whitecaps beat FC Dallas 5–0. The model had made a win for Vancouver Whitecaps its most likely outcome, at 69%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: E. Sabbi 11' for Vancouver Whitecaps, B. White 23' for Vancouver Whitecaps, B. White 37' for Vancouver Whitecaps, E. Ocampo 45' for Vancouver Whitecaps, B. Caicedo 68' for Vancouver Whitecaps. On expected goals it finished 1.37–0.59.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.