23 August 2026, 02:30 UTC

Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers Major League Soccer prediction & result

BMO Stadium, Los Angeles
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Portland Timbers.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Los Angeles FC, 25% draw, 49% Portland Timbers — fair odds of 3.85, 4.00 and 2.04.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Portland Timbers at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Los Angeles FC3%Draw92%Portland Timbers5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽D. Da Costaassist: K. Velde
Mathieu Choinière
16'
🔁T. Tillmanout: J. Shaffelburg
20'
31'
Kevin Kelsy
54'
🔁C. Bassettout: J. Ortiz
54'
🔁A. Lassiterout: Antony
56'
🔁J. Foryout: I. Smith
70'
🔁K. Kelsyout: V. Janssen
70'
🔁K. Veldeout: O. Fernandez
🔁M. Choiniereout: J. Terry
76'
🔁Y. Cheberkoout: R. Raposo
76'
⚽D. Bouangaassist: J. Terry
79'
Denis Bouanga
86'
89'
Vincent Janssen
90+3'
Vincent Janssen
90+3'
Vincent Janssen

Match stats — Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers

61%Possession39%
33Shots8
12On target2
12Corners0
2.3xG0.89

Goals against chances

Los Angeles FC1 from 2.30 xGless than the chances were worth
Portland Timbers1 from 0.89 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Los Angeles FC 4-3-3
  • 1H. LlorisG
  • 24R. HollingsheadD
  • 5R. PorteousD
  • 33A. LongD
  • 23Y. CheberkoD
  • 66M. ChoiniereM
  • 4E. SeguraM
  • 8M. DelgadoM
  • 11T. TillmanF
  • 7Son Heung-MinF
  • 99D. BouangaF
Substitutes
  • 31C. CarterG
  • 45K. NielsenD
  • 91Nkosi TafariD
  • 22J. TerryM
  • 36D. GuerraM
  • 19T. BoydF
  • 18J. ShaffelburgF
  • 21R. RaposoM
  • 17J. EbobisseF
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
  • 41J. PantemisG
  • 15E. MillerD
  • 20F. SurmanD
  • 4K. MillerD
  • 27J. ForyD
  • 17C. BassettM
  • 30J. CaicedoM
  • 7A. LassiterM
  • 10D. Da CostaM
  • 99K. VeldeM
  • 19K. KelsyF
Substitutes
  • 25T. MuseG
  • 18Z. McGrawD
  • 16S. JuraD
  • 23I. SmithD
  • 80J. OrtizM
  • 14V. JanssenF
  • 88G. GuerraF
  • 22O. FernandezF
  • 11AntonyF
Coach: Jack Cassidy

Form going into Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers

Los Angeles FC

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Colorado Rapids20 August 2026
  • L0-1San Diego16 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Vancouver Whitecaps1 August 2026
  • W4-0Sporting Kansas City26 July 2026
  • W3-1Real Salt Lake23 July 2026

Portland Timbers

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1San Diego20 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Chicago Fire16 August 2026
  • W2-1Seattle Sounders2 August 2026
  • W2-1Real Salt Lake26 July 2026
  • D2-2FC Dallas23 July 2026

What these results say

  • Los Angeles FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Portland Timbers scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Portland Timbers conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Portland Timbers had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Los Angeles FC341211115240+1247
7Portland Timbers34137146261+146

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers

  • 11 April 2026Portland Timbers 2–1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
  • 28 January 2026Los Angeles FC 2–2 Portland TimbersFriendlies Clubs
  • 26 July 2025Los Angeles FC 0–1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
  • 20 April 2025Portland Timbers 3–3 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
  • 29 January 2025Los Angeles FC 1–0 Portland TimbersFriendlies Clubs
  • 28 April 2024Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers

Los Angeles FC

GoalsAssists

  • D. Bouanga185

Portland Timbers

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 62 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Portland Timbers at 49% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: D. Da Costa 4' for Portland Timbers, D. Bouanga 79' for Los Angeles FC. Sent off: Vincent Janssen (Portland Timbers) 90+3'. On expected goals it finished 2.30–0.89.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.