Twente vs PEC Zwolle Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Twente 3-1 PEC Zwolle.
Before kick-off the model made it 69% Twente, 17% draw, 14% PEC Zwolle — fair odds of 1.45, 5.88 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Twente at 69%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Twente vs PEC Zwolle
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lars UnnerstallG
- 28Bart van RooijD
- 3Robin PröpperD
- 43Ruud NijstadD
- 29Aske AdelgaardD
- 6Ramiz ZerroukiM
- 42Daouda WeidmannM
- 7Marko PjacaM
- 11Daan RotsM
- 27Sondre ØrjasæterM
- 9Wout WeghorstF
- 12Guilherme PeixotoD
- 14Kristian HlynssonM
- 20Thomas Van den BeltM
- 17Filip ThorvaldsenF
- 10Sam LammersF
- 22Remko PasveerG
- 16Joël DrommelG
- 24Krzysztof KurowskiD
- 4Mathias KjøløM
- 1Jasper SchendelaarG
- 3Olivier AertssenD
- 28Simon GravesD
- 24Nick ViergeverD
- 33Damian van der HaarD
- 30Ryan ThomasM
- 8Tobias SommerM
- 11Dylan MbayoM
- 25Thijs OostingM
- 9Elias SørensenM
- 10Koen KostonsF
- 20Gabriel ReizigerM
- 22Ibrahim CissokoF
- 18Odysseus VelanasM
- 34Nick FichtingerM
- 4Tijs VelthuisD
- 41Duke VerduinG
- 16Tom de GraaffG
- 6Jan BürgerD
- 42Dylan RuwardD
Form going into Twente vs PEC Zwolle
Twente
All competitions we cover
- D3-3away to Dunajska Streda13 August 2026
- L0-1away to Heerenveen9 August 2026
- W6-0Dunajska Streda6 August 2026
- D2-2away to Ferencvarosi TC30 July 2026
- L1-2Ferencvarosi TC23 July 2026
PEC Zwolle
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Ajax9 August 2026
What these results say
- Twente failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Twente scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Twente conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Twente vs PEC Zwolle
- 10 January 2026Twente 1–1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- 10 August 2025PEC Zwolle 1–0 TwenteEredivisie
- 13 April 2025PEC Zwolle 1–1 TwenteEredivisie
- 14 September 2024Twente 1–1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- 19 May 2024PEC Zwolle 1–2 TwenteEredivisie
Leading scorers: Twente and PEC Zwolle
Twente
GoalsAssists
- W. Weghorst92
PEC Zwolle
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Twente beat PEC Zwolle 3–1. The model had made a win for Twente its most likely outcome, at 69%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: E. Sorensen 21' for PEC Zwolle, D. Weidmann 38' for Twente, D. Mbayo (own goal) 59' for Twente, D. Rots 69' for Twente. On expected goals it finished 2.11–0.68.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.