Aldosivi vs Tigre Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Aldosivi 0-0 Tigre.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Aldosivi, 27% draw, 35% Tigre — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Aldosivi at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aldosivi vs Tigre
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 42L. AcostaG
- 14E. LopezD
- 2L. SigaliD
- 32J. PomboD
- 13B. CufreD
- 22A. SosaM
- 19L. CastroM
- 24F. AnsoM
- 10N. GaitanM
- 21M. GodoyM
- 29A. VombergarF
- 23I. ChiccoG
- 25N. BreitenbruchD
- 28S. MoyaD
- 33N. ZalazarD
- 5N. LinaresM
- 17F. LaurelliD
- 4R. GonzalezD
- 15F. PerruzziM
- 8M. GarciaM
- 26L. MoralesG
- 50I. PeluffoD
- 23G. RequenaD
- 20A. BarrionuevoD
- 24F. AlvarezD
- 10J. SaraleguiM
- 27S. GonzalezM
- 8M. GarayM
- 22S. LopezM
- 29I. RussoF
- 33M. MendezF
- 12F. T. ZenobioG
- 17G. SotoD
- 3N. BanegasD
- 32J. VillalbaD
- 2J. LasoD
- 40L. MinnitiD
- 30J. EliasM
- 21S. MedinaM
- 11T. SerragoM
Form going into Aldosivi vs Tigre
Aldosivi
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Rosario Central7 August 2026
- L1-2Gimnasia La Plata2 August 2026
- L0-1away to Barracas Central29 July 2026
- D1-1away to Defensa Y Justicia24 July 2026
Tigre
All competitions we cover
- W1-0River Plate8 August 2026
- D0-0Belgrano Cordoba6 August 2026
- W3-1away to Racing Club1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto25 July 2026
What these results say
- Aldosivi did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Aldosivi conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Aldosivi scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Tigre had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aldosivi vs Tigre
- 12 February 2026Tigre 1–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21 September 2025Tigre 2–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 March 2025Aldosivi 0–2 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 September 2022Tigre 3–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 March 2022Aldosivi 1–0 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 2 September 2018Aldosivi 0–2 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Aldosivi and Tigre
Aldosivi
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Tigre
GoalsAssists
- I. Russo83
- M. Méndez73
- D. Romero72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Aldosivi and Tigre drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Aldosivi at 38% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Gonzalo Requena (Tigre) 78'. On expected goals it finished 1.03–1.02.