Talleres Cordoba
vs
Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Talleres Cordoba 0–1 Defensa Y Justicia
The model makes it 34% Talleres Cordoba, 31% draw, 35% Defensa Y Justicia — fair odds of 2.94, 3.23 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Talleres Cordoba 1.11, Defensa Y Justicia 1.13.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 39%, under 2.5: 61%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Talleres Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published · updated
The full preview, with the complete head-to-head record →
Key facts
- Talleres Cordoba are bottom on 9 points from 12 games; Defensa Y Justicia are 2nd on 24 points from 12 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group A.
- Talleres Cordoba are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Independiente.
- Defensa Y Justicia are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 2-0 win away to Union Santa Fe.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 13 April 2026, ended Defensa Y Justicia 1–2 Talleres Cordoba.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Defensa Y Justicia at 35% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
- D0-0Independiente12 October 2026
- L0-1Belgrano Cordoba4 October 2026
- L1-3away to Instituto Cordoba20 September 2026
- W2-1Union Santa Fe12 September 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo5 September 2026
Defensa Y Justicia
- W2-0away to Union Santa Fe10 October 2026
- W3-0San Lorenzo3 October 2026
- D2-2away to Central Cordoba de Santiago18 September 2026
- W2-0Gimnasia Mendoza11 September 2026
- L0-1away to Lanus6 September 2026
What these results say
- Talleres Cordoba failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Defensa Y Justicia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Talleres Cordoba
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 85% today
Defensa Y Justicia
Chance to finish top of the Clausura Group A · 22% today
From our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
- 13 April 2026Defensa Y Justicia 1–2 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 July 2024Talleres Cordoba 1–1 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 March 2023Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 September 2022Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 April 2022Talleres Cordoba 1–5 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 October 2021Defensa Y Justicia 3–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
The two sides
Talleres Cordoba carry a model rating of 6.53 against 6.69 for Defensa Y Justicia. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.11 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 1.13 for Defensa Y Justicia. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Talleres Cordoba rate 0.69 in attack and 1.31 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Defensa Y Justicia rate 0.94 and 1.30.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Talleres Cordoba a 0% chance of the title and Defensa Y Justicia 22.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Defensa Y Justicia the highest probability at 35%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Talleres Cordoba against 1.13 for Defensa Y Justicia. Talleres Cordoba's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.94/1.3 for Defensa Y Justicia.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Talleres Cordoba at home · Defensa Y Justicia away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Talleres Cordoba 28, Defensa Y Justicia 28.
Talleres Cordoba score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Defensa Y Justicia have let in 11 there.
Defensa Y Justicia score most often in the 31–45 minute window (11 goals); Talleres Cordoba have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Talleres Cordoba
- at Deportivo Riestra31 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 27%
- vs Estudiantes La Plata8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 31%
Defensa Y Justicia
- vs Independiente2 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 46%
- at Boca Juniors8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 21%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.