BK Hacken
vs
Degerfors IF
Allsvenskan prediction
Our model says: BK Hacken 1–0 Degerfors IF
The model makes it 56% BK Hacken, 25% draw, 19% Degerfors IF — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (12%).
Expected goals: BK Hacken 1.85, Degerfors IF 0.87.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to BK Hacken: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- BK Hacken are 5th on 39 points from 23 games; Degerfors IF are 13th on 20 points from 23 games — Allsvenskan.
- BK Hacken are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to Orgryte IS.
- Degerfors IF are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Mjallby AIF.
- Last 6 meetings: Degerfors IF 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 2 May 2026, ended Degerfors IF 1–1 BK Hacken.
More Allsvenskan predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF
Has the model earned this number?
It puts BK Hacken at 56% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF
BK Hacken
- W3-0Orgryte IS11 October 2026
- W5-0away to Kalmar FF20 September 2026
- D1-1Mjallby AIF11 September 2026
- D0-0away to Gais5 September 2026
- L1-3Vasteras SK FK29 August 2026
Degerfors IF
- D1-1away to Mjallby AIF10 October 2026
- L0-1Hammarby FF20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Sirius14 September 2026
- W2-0Halmstad5 September 2026
- L0-2away to IF Elfsborg29 August 2026
What these results say
- BK Hacken scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Degerfors IF had two goals or fewer.
- Degerfors IF failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Degerfors IF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | BK Hacken | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 39 |
| 13 | Degerfors IF | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
BK Hacken
Chance to finish in the top four · 40% today
Degerfors IF
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 44% today
From our Allsvenskan season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF
- 2 May 2026Degerfors IF 1–1 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 10 August 2025Degerfors IF 0–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 23 April 2025BK Hacken 3–4 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 3 September 2023Degerfors IF 1–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 13 May 2023BK Hacken 6–1 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 4 September 2022BK Hacken 2–2 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: BK Hacken and Degerfors IF
BK Hacken
GoalsAssists
- G. Lindgren121
- Julius Lindberg96
- A. Svanbäck67
Degerfors IF
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
BK Hacken carry a model rating of 6.52 against 6.25 for Degerfors IF. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.85 goals for BK Hacken and 0.87 for Degerfors IF. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
BK Hacken rate 0.74 in attack and 1.44 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Degerfors IF rate 0.44 and 1.53.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives BK Hacken the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.85 expected goals for BK Hacken against 0.87 for Degerfors IF. BK Hacken's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.44 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.44/1.53 for Degerfors IF.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
BK Hacken at home · Degerfors IF away
League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Allsvenskan matches this season: BK Hacken 23, Degerfors IF 23.
BK Hacken score most often in the 46–60 minute window (10 goals); Degerfors IF have let in 9 there.
Degerfors IF score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); BK Hacken have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
BK Hacken
- at IF Brommapojkarna28 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 42%
- vs IFK Goteborg1 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 51%
- at AIK Stockholm8 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 42%
- vs IF Elfsborg22 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 39%
Degerfors IF
- vs Vasteras SK FK28 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 29%
- at Djurgardens IF1 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 12%
- vs Gais7 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 24%
- at AIK Stockholm21 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 25%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.