Talleres Cordoba
vs
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
The model makes it 54% Talleres Cordoba, 22% draw, 24% Central Cordoba de Santiago — fair odds of 1.85, 4.55 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Talleres Cordoba 2.10, Central Cordoba de Santiago 1.35.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Talleres Cordoba
- L0-3Lanus12 August 2026
- W4-0away to Platense3 August 2026
- L1-3Velez Sarsfield30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Newell's Old Boys25 July 2026
- L0-1Belgrano Cordoba9 May 2026
Central Cordoba de Santiago
- W2-1away to Union Santa Fe11 August 2026
- W1-0San Lorenzo4 August 2026
- L0-2Atletico Tucuman31 July 2026
- L0-1away to Gimnasia Mendoza24 July 2026
- L1-2Boca Juniors2 May 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Talleres Cordoba carry a model rating of 6.55 against 6.47 for Central Cordoba de Santiago. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Talleres Cordoba L-L-L-W-L; Central Cordoba de Santiago L-L-L-W-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.10 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 1.35 for Central Cordoba de Santiago. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Talleres Cordoba rate 0.91 in attack and 1.75 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Central Cordoba de Santiago rate 0.55 and 1.22.
That points to 67% for over two and a half goals and 65% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%).
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Talleres Cordoba a 5.3% chance of the title and Central Cordoba de Santiago 0%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 400 correct results out of 828 settled predictions (48%), with 78 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Talleres Cordoba the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.1 expected goals for Talleres Cordoba against 1.35 for Central Cordoba de Santiago. Talleres Cordoba's attack/defence rating is 0.91/1.75 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.22 for Central Cordoba de Santiago.