Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Minnesota United FC 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Minnesota United FC, 25% draw, 50% Vancouver Whitecaps — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Drake CallenderG
- 3Kyle DuncanD
- 28Jefferson DíazD
- 15Michael BoxallD
- 23Morris DugganD
- 13Anthony MarkanichD
- 26Joaquín PereyraM
- 30Owen GeneM
- 20Wil TrappM
- 9Kelvin YeboahF
- 29Mamadou DiengF
- 67Carlos HarveyM
- 6Peter StroudM
- 8Tomás ChancalayF
- 2Devin PadelfordD
- 21Bongokuhle HlongwaneF
- 1Alec SmirG
- 24Julian GresselM
- 18Mauricio GonzálezF
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 1Yohei TakaokaG
- 2Mathías LabordaD
- 4Ranko VeselinovićD
- 33Tristan BlackmonD
- 28Tate JohnsonD
- 8Oliver LarrazM
- 20Andrés CubasM
- 7Cheick Tidiane SabalyM
- 13Thomas MüllerM
- 59Jeevan BadwalM
- 24Brian WhiteF
- 29Mihail GherasimencovD
- 41Nikola DjordjevicD
- 25Ryan GauldM
- 19Rayan ElloumiF
- 3Sam AdekugbeD
- 32Isaac BoehmerG
- 30Adrian ZendejasG
- 26Jean-Claude NgandoM
- 63Johnny SelemaniF
Form going into Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Sporting Kansas City23 July 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps
All competitions we cover
- L3-4away to FC Cincinnati22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 38 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 33 | +34 | 58 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
- 15 March 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 6–0 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 29 May 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 0–0 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 27 April 2025Minnesota United FC 1–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 5 October 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 4 July 2024Minnesota United FC 1–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Yeboah183
Vancouver Whitecaps
GoalsAssists
- B. White182
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Vancouver Whitecaps at 50% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.10–0.41.