Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Minnesota United FC 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Minnesota United FC, 25% draw, 50% Vancouver Whitecaps — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Drake CallenderG
- 3Kyle DuncanD
- 28Jefferson DíazD
- 15Michael BoxallD
- 23Morris DugganD
- 13Anthony MarkanichD
- 26Joaquín PereyraM
- 30Owen GeneM
- 20Wil TrappM
- 9Kelvin YeboahF
- 29Mamadou DiengF
- 67Carlos HarveyM
- 6Peter StroudM
- 8Tomás ChancalayF
- 2Devin PadelfordD
- 21Bongokuhle HlongwaneF
- 1Alec SmirG
- 24Julian GresselM
- 18Mauricio GonzálezF
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 1Yohei TakaokaG
- 2Mathías LabordaD
- 4Ranko VeselinovićD
- 33Tristan BlackmonD
- 28Tate JohnsonD
- 8Oliver LarrazM
- 20Andrés CubasM
- 7Cheick Tidiane SabalyM
- 13Thomas MüllerM
- 59Jeevan BadwalM
- 24Brian WhiteF
- 29Mihail GherasimencovD
- 41Nikola DjordjevicD
- 25Ryan GauldM
- 19Rayan ElloumiF
- 3Sam AdekugbeD
- 32Isaac BoehmerG
- 30Adrian ZendejasG
- 26Jean-Claude NgandoM
- 63Johnny SelemaniF
Form going into Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
- L1-2away to Sporting Kansas City23 July 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps
- L3-4away to FC Cincinnati22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 29 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | +30 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
- 26 July 2026Minnesota United FC 0–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 15 March 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 6–0 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 29 May 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 0–0 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 27 April 2025Minnesota United FC 1–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 5 October 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 4 July 2024Minnesota United FC 1–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
- K. Yeboah13 goals2 assists
Vancouver Whitecaps
- B. White15 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.