Plzen
vs
Zbrojovka Brno
The model makes it 50% Plzen, 21% draw, 29% Zbrojovka Brno — fair odds of 2.00, 4.76 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Plzen 2.19, Zbrojovka Brno 1.67.
Both teams to score: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 74%, under 2.5: 26%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno
- 5 February 2023Zbrojovka Brno 1–3 PlzenCzech Liga
- 9 November 2022Plzen 4–0 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 19 January 2022Plzen 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoFriendlies Clubs
- 27 February 2021Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 PlzenCzech Liga
- 27 September 2020Plzen 4–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Plzen the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.19 expected goals for Plzen against 1.67 for Zbrojovka Brno. Plzen's attack/defence rating is 0.84/0.92 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.3/1.38 for Zbrojovka Brno.