Puskas Academy vs Kisvarda FC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Puskas Academy 0-2 Kisvarda FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 74% Puskas Academy, 18% draw, 8% Kisvarda FC — fair odds of 1.35, 5.56 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Puskas Academy at 74% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Puskas Academy vs Kisvarda FC
Line-ups
- 72Bendegúz LehoczkiG
- 22Roland SzolnokiD
- 14Wojciech GollaD
- 21Georgiy HarutyunyanD
- 33Brandon Ormonde-OttewillD
- 20Mikael SoisaloM
- 4Michael OkekeM
- 74Martin KernM
- 77Kevin MondovicsM
- 8Dániel LukácsF
- 90András NémethF
- 6Laros DuarteM
- 10Palkó DárdaiF
- 66Zsombor VargaM
- 96Roland OrjánD
- 16Urho NissiläM
- 1Tamás MarkekG
- 61Mirkó BozóG
- 24Barna PálD
- 18Bence VékonyM
- 23Ilya PopovichG
- 6Maksym OstrovkaD
- 26Nikola RadmanovacD
- 4Martin ChlumeckýD
- 10Dominik SoltészD
- 80Hianga'a M'BockM
- 27Jasmin MešanovićM
- 14Bogdan MelnykM
- 24Christián HercM
- 77Ákos ÉsikM
- 45Teslim Abdulateef BalogunF
- 99Tonislav YordanovF
- 21Gennadiy SzikszaiM
- 29Bence BíróF
- 11Marko MatanovićM
- 1Marcell KovácsG
- 32Zsombor PappG
- 18Kevin KörmendiM
- 5Bálint OláhM
- 70Levente SzőrM
Form going into Puskas Academy vs Kisvarda FC
Puskas Academy
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Debreceni VSC26 July 2026
Kisvarda FC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Budapest Honved25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Puskas Academy vs Kisvarda FC
- 6 March 2026Kisvarda FC 1–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 22 November 2025Puskas Academy 2–0 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 10 August 2025Kisvarda FC 2–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 4 May 2024Puskas Academy 4–2 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 10 February 2024Kisvarda FC 0–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 6 October 2023Puskas Academy 1–0 Kisvarda FCNB I
Leading scorers: Puskas Academy and Kisvarda FC
Puskas Academy
GoalsAssists
- A. Németh42
- P. Dárdai32
Kisvarda FC
GoalsAssists
- C. Herc30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kisvarda FC won 2–0 at Puskas Academy. The model had leaned towards a win for Puskas Academy at 74% and given a win for Kisvarda FC 8%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 13 matches like this one. The goals: Ákos Ésik 33' for Kisvarda FC, Christián Herc (penalty) 61' for Kisvarda FC. Sent off: Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill (Puskas Academy) 61'.