Puskas Academy vs Kisvarda FC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Puskas Academy 0-2 Kisvarda FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 74% Puskas Academy, 18% draw, 8% Kisvarda FC — fair odds of 1.35, 5.56 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Puskas Academy at 74% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Puskas Academy vs Kisvarda FC
Line-ups
- 72Bendegúz LehoczkiG
- 22Roland SzolnokiD
- 14Wojciech GollaD
- 21Georgiy HarutyunyanD
- 33Brandon Ormonde-OttewillD
- 20Mikael SoisaloM
- 4Michael OkekeM
- 74Martin KernM
- 77Kevin MondovicsM
- 8Dániel LukácsF
- 90András NémethF
- 6Laros DuarteM
- 10Palkó DárdaiF
- 66Zsombor VargaM
- 96Roland OrjánD
- 16Urho NissiläM
- 1Tamás MarkekG
- 61Mirkó BozóG
- 24Barna PálD
- 18Bence VékonyM
- 23Ilya PopovichG
- 6Maksym OstrovkaD
- 26Nikola RadmanovacD
- 4Martin ChlumeckýD
- 10Dominik SoltészD
- 80Hianga'a M'BockM
- 27Jasmin MešanovićM
- 14Bogdan MelnykM
- 24Christián HercM
- 77Ákos ÉsikM
- 45Teslim Abdulateef BalogunF
- 99Tonislav YordanovF
- 21Gennadiy SzikszaiM
- 29Bence BíróF
- 11Marko MatanovićM
- 1Marcell KovácsG
- 32Zsombor PappG
- 18Kevin KörmendiM
- 5Bálint OláhM
- 70Levente SzőrM
Form going into Puskas Academy vs Kisvarda FC
Puskas Academy
- W2-0away to Debreceni VSC26 July 2026
Kisvarda FC
- D1-1Budapest Honved25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Kisvarda FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Puskas Academy vs Kisvarda FC
- 6 March 2026Kisvarda FC 1–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 22 November 2025Puskas Academy 2–0 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 10 August 2025Kisvarda FC 2–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 4 May 2024Puskas Academy 4–2 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 10 February 2024Kisvarda FC 0–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 6 October 2023Puskas Academy 1–0 Kisvarda FCNB I
Leading scorers: Puskas Academy and Kisvarda FC
Puskas Academy
- A. Németh2 goals1 assists
- G. Harutyunyan2 goals
- L. Colley2 goals
Kisvarda FC
- C. Herc3 goals
- M. Matanović2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.