8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Sochaux vs Saint Etienne Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Auguste Bonal
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Sochaux 0-3 Saint Etienne.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% Sochaux, 21% draw, 18% Saint Etienne — fair odds of 1.64, 4.76 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sochaux at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sochaux0%Draw1%Saint Etienne99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽J. Breumassist: A. Boakye
24'
⚽I. Cardonaassist: J. Breum
28'
⚽I. Cardonaassist: T. Ballo
46'
🔁A. Boakyeout: J. Duffus
56'
🔁I. Cardonaout: L. Stassin
🔁K. Djocoout: M. Clairicia
62'
🔁L. Nomelout: B. Fofana
62'
🔁M. Peybernesout: A. Vitelli
62'
66'
Jakob Breum
69'
🔁T. Balloout: Z. Davitashvili
🔁S. Baghdadiout: J. Mexique
74'
78'
🔁M. Bernauerout: A. Baallal
🔁D. Gomisout: D. Tavares
80'

Match stats — Sochaux vs Saint Etienne

53%Possession47%
11Shots11
1On target5
6Corners1

Line-ups

Sochaux 4-2-3-1
  • 40M. JeanninG
  • 17B. YoussoufD
  • 14M. PeybernesD
  • 26E. N'GattaD
  • 3D. Gomis
  • 19V. LobryM
  • 23J. MassonM
  • 77L. NomelM
  • 5S. BaghdadiM
  • 7B. GomelM
  • 9K. DjocoF
Substitutes
  • 30A. PierreG
  • 91M. ClairiciaF
  • 47J. VetroF
  • 15J. MexiqueM
  • 10B. FofanaF
  • 97S. AgouzoulD
  • 42D. TavaresD
  • 4A. VitelliD
  • 25P. DiopM
Coach: Vincent Hognon
Saint Etienne 4-4-2
  • 30G. LarsonneurG
  • 13J. FerreiraD
  • 26J. Le CardinalD
  • 18S. NairD
  • 23K. PedroD
  • 20A. BoakyeM
  • 6M. BernauerM
  • 14A. CsongvaiM
  • 10J. BreumM
  • 8T. BalloF
  • 7I. CardonaF
Substitutes
  • 1M. NdiayeG
  • 17J. DuffusF
  • 9L. StassinF
  • 27L. GadegbekuM
  • 22Z. DavitashviliF
  • 2S. StojkovicD
  • 32A. BaallalM
  • 37N. Kasia NkondoD
Coach: Ian Cathro

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Sochaux12255815-711
1Saint Etienne129122511+1428

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sochaux vs Saint Etienne

  • 28 January 2023Saint Etienne 2–3 SochauxLigue 2
  • 10 October 2022Sochaux 2–1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • 11 February 2021Sochaux 1–0 Saint EtienneCoupe de France
  • 23 March 2014Saint Etienne 3–1 SochauxLigue 1
  • 2 November 2013Sochaux 0–0 Saint EtienneLigue 1
  • 2 February 2013Sochaux 1–2 Saint EtienneLigue 1

Leading scorers: Sochaux and Saint Etienne

Sochaux

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Saint Etienne

GoalsAssists

  • I. Cardona65
  • A. Boakye63
  • T. Ballo52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Saint Etienne won 3–0 at Sochaux. The model had leaned towards a win for Sochaux at 61% and given a win for Saint Etienne 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: J. Breum 22' for Saint Etienne, I. Cardona 24' for Saint Etienne, I. Cardona 28' for Saint Etienne.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.