8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

PAU vs Annecy Ligue 2 prediction & result

Nouste Camp, Pau
Full time0 – 1

Final score: PAU 0-1 Annecy.

Before kick-off the model made it 20% PAU, 20% draw, 60% Annecy — fair odds of 5.00, 5.00 and 1.67.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Annecy at 60%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

PAU0%Draw5%Annecy95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽A. Drouhinassist: C. Billemaz
16'
Clement Billemaz
Gaëtan Paquiez
37'
🔁K. Gasnierout: G. Versini
46'
🔁M. Tourraineout: J. Kalulu
46'
🔁L. Rajotout: C. Fall
46'
Giovani Versini
52'
59'
🔁K. Youngout: Z. Redmond
🔁A. Lefebvreout: B. Leye
66'
67'
🔁A. Laroseout: K. Jusseron-Veniere
67'
🔁M. Koneout: M. Veillon
67'
🔁T. Rambaudout: M. S. Dion
🔁A. Dodoteout: T. Saettel
80'
Tom Saettel
82'

Match stats — PAU vs Annecy

71%Possession29%
16Shots9
2On target3
6Corners4

Line-ups

PAU 5-3-2
  • 1B. MaubleuG
  • 39M. TourraineD
  • 4A. DodoteD
  • 88A. BambaD
  • 29G. PaquiezD
  • 2T. PouillyD
  • 5L. RajotM
  • 21J. BenetM
  • 90K. GasnierM
  • 11A. LefebvreF
  • 7H. BenaliF
Substitutes
  • 16M. AdamG
  • 23A. BrianconD
  • 9B. LeyeF
  • 19T. SaettelF
  • 10G. VersiniF
  • 3J. KaluluD
  • 8S. BasseD
  • 6C. FallM
  • 22R. Mimb BahengD
Coach: Thierry Debes
Annecy 4-3-3
  • 1F. EscalesG
  • 41T. DelphisD
  • 6F. LajugieD
  • 18A. DrouhinD
  • 27J. KouadioD
  • 14M. Kone
  • 25P. VenotM
  • 22C. BillemazM
  • 28A. LaroseF
  • 9T. RambaudF
  • 12K. YoungF
Substitutes
  • 16T. CallensG
  • 17Z. RedmondF
  • 15P. MozieM
  • 19K. Jusseron-VeniereM
  • 23M. VeillonD
  • 80M. S. DionF
  • 4S. LimaD
Coach: Laurent Guyot

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5PAU126241613+320
9Annecy125161418-416

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: PAU vs Annecy

  • 24 April 2026Annecy 5–1 PAULigue 2
  • 9 August 2025PAU 2–0 AnnecyLigue 2
  • 28 March 2025PAU 1–0 AnnecyLigue 2
  • 1 November 2024Annecy 2–0 PAULigue 2
  • 27 January 2024Annecy 0–0 PAULigue 2
  • 23 September 2023PAU 0–3 AnnecyLigue 2

Leading scorers: PAU and Annecy

PAU

GoalsAssists

  • B. Leye41

Annecy

GoalsAssists

  • M. Sahi50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Annecy won 1–0 at PAU. The model had made a win for Annecy its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Drouhin 11' for Annecy. Sent off: Clement Billemaz (Annecy) 16'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.