8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Rodez vs Laval Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Rodez 3-1 Laval.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Rodez, 25% draw, 18% Laval — fair odds of 1.75, 4.00 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rodez at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rodez98%Draw2%Laval0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
Mamadou Sidibé
19'
Sidi Bane
24'
🔁M. Houdayerout: E. Mouton
⚽C. Issanchou Roubiou
52'
Evan’s Jean-Lambert
61'
65'
🔁T. Bouriaudout: F. Coquelin
65'
🔁T. Dagoout: N. Mupemba
66'
🔁M. Selloukiout: E. Clavreul
68'
⚽E. Clavreulassist: E. Mouton
🔁M. Touhoout: K. Nagera
69'
🔁C. Issanchou Roubiouout: S. Luyambula
69'
🔁A. Cartillierout: O. Joly
69'
76'
🔁W. Biandaout: L. Samb
🔁S. Benchammaout: D. Pavlovic
78'
🔁E. Jean-Lambertout: C. Jolibois
78'
⚽I. Baldeassist: J. Mendes
89'
⚽O. Jolyassist: K. Nagera
90'

Match stats — Rodez vs Laval

44%Possession56%
20Shots6
9On target1
8Corners4

Line-ups

Rodez 5-3-2
  • 1Q. BraatG
  • 13C. Issanchou RoubiouD
  • 24L. Laurent
  • 4M. MagninD
  • 3R. LipinskiD
  • 15E. Jean-LambertD
  • 26S. BenchammaM
  • 6J. MendesM
  • 29A. Cartillier
  • 18I. BaldeF
  • 11M. TouhoF
Substitutes
  • 16L. MargueronG
  • 7K. NageraF
  • 28S. LuyambulaD
  • 8D. PavlovicM
  • 10M. BaaloudjF
  • 22O. JolyM
  • 33D. MavouniaD
  • 5C. JoliboisD
Coach: Didier Santini
Laval 4-3-3
  • 30M. SamassaG
  • 29M. SidibeD
  • 24S. BaneD
  • 3W. BiandaD
  • 22J. GaudinD
  • 14C. MandoukiM
  • 8T. BouriaudM
  • 6S. SannaM
  • 10M. SelloukiF
  • 11T. Dago
  • 31M. HoudayerF
Substitutes
  • 1M. HautboisG
  • 13F. CoquelinM
  • 5J. MaggiottiM
  • 19N. MupembaF
  • 23E. MoutonD
  • 20E. ClavreulM
  • 35L. SambD
  • 32Y. CourtM
  • 33S. MellierM
Coach: David Vignes

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Rodez124171723-613
18Laval122371423-99

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rodez vs Laval

  • 24 April 2026Laval 0–0 RodezLigue 2
  • 22 August 2025Rodez 1–1 LavalLigue 2
  • 18 April 2025Laval 2–1 RodezLigue 2
  • 24 September 2024Rodez 1–3 LavalLigue 2
  • 27 January 2024Rodez 1–2 LavalLigue 2
  • 19 August 2023Laval 1–0 RodezLigue 2

Leading scorers: Rodez and Laval

Rodez

GoalsAssists

  • I. Baldé50

Laval

GoalsAssists

  • M. Houdayer40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rodez beat Laval 3–1. The model had made a win for Rodez its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: C. Issanchou Roubiou 52' for Rodez, E. Clavreul 68' for Laval, I. Balde 89' for Rodez, O. Joly 90' for Rodez. Sent off: Sidi Bane (Laval) 19'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.