Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Praha 4-0 Zbrojovka Brno.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Slavia Praha, 28% draw, 25% Zbrojovka Brno — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Praha at 47% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno
Line-ups
- 35J. MarkovicG
- 42M. KonecnyD
- 4D. ZimaD
- 2S. ChaloupekD
- 14S. IsifeM
- 30W. NowakM
- 23M. SadilekM
- 8O. KubiakM
- 10D. SturmF
- 17L. ProvodF
- 25T. ChoryF
- 29N. DomchakG
- 39D. JurasekD
- 45J. KolisekD
- 27T. VlcekD
- 43E. PitakD
- 20E. AyaosiM
- 22T. DiakiteM
- 32P. KacorM
- 26I. SchranzF
- 1A. HrdinaG
- 39J. KlimaD
- 4E. HunalD
- 3Kaka
- 6L. PenxaM
- 8P. CavosM
- 7S. LangerM
- 44A. DanteM
- 14T. VachousekF
- 15D. VasulinF
- 10A. VanicekF
- 78O. ProdelalG
- 25T. BreckaD
- 18D. GranecnyD
- 17J. ZmrhalM
- 68J. JanetzkyM
- 20L. SaalM
- 23P. SevcikM
- 29P. ZitnyM
- 11M. RymarenkoF
Form going into Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno
Slavia Praha
- W3-0away to Sparta Praha30 August 2026
- D2-2Bohemians 190522 August 2026
Zbrojovka Brno
- W1-0Hradec Králové2 September 2026
- W3-2Zlin29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | +19 | 23 |
| 6 | Zbrojovka Brno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno
- 5 September 2026Slavia Praha 4–0 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 11 February 2023Slavia Praha 2–0 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 28 August 2022Zbrojovka Brno 0–4 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 4 April 2021Zbrojovka Brno 0–0 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 29 November 2020Slavia Praha 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Zbrojovka Brno
Slavia Praha
- W. Nowak5 goals1 assist
- M. Chytil4 goals
- T. Chorý4 goals
Zbrojovka Brno
- D. Vašulín4 goals
- A. Vaníček3 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.