Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905 Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Sigma Olomouc 3-0 Bohemians 1905.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Sigma Olomouc, 29% draw, 30% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sigma Olomouc at 41% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 91J. KoutnyG
- 2A. SyllaD
- 33M. MalyD
- 3L. LurvinkD
- 22M. HadasM
- 88P. BarathM
- 7M. BeranM
- 70A. GhaliM
- 23F. KrivakF
- 10V. SejkF
- 39D. JanosekF
- 98M. HruskaG
- 26S. NoumbissieD
- 29A. EkerothD
- 14M. SoldoM
- 8J. SpacilM
- 24D. TkacM
- 9J. KlimentF
- 11H. MikaelssonF
- 17J. DembeF
- 23T. FruhwaldG
- 24M. HavelD
- 27D. LischkaD
- 3M. KadlecD
- 25P. Kareem
- 47A. CermakM
- 42V. SmrzM
- 37D. JavorcekM
- 16R. KvetF
- 99L. AlmasiF
- 11V. PilarF
- 12M. ReichlG
- 22J. VondraD
- 8D. HeidenreichD
- 18D. ValaD
- 32P. MirvaldD
- 15M. BandaD
- 19J. KovarikM
- 13V. ZemanF
- 70S. Cerny
Form going into Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905
Sigma Olomouc
- L0-1away to Baník Ostrava29 August 2026
- W3-1Pardubice23 August 2026
Bohemians 1905
- D1-1FK Jablonec2 September 2026
- D2-2away to Slavia Praha22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 16 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905
- 5 September 2026Sigma Olomouc 3–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 10 May 2026Sigma Olomouc 1–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 2 May 2026Bohemians 1905 1–3 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 1 March 2026Sigma Olomouc 1–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 27 September 2025Bohemians 1905 2–2 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 9 March 2025Bohemians 1905 0–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Sigma Olomouc and Bohemians 1905
Sigma Olomouc
- V. Sejk3 goals2 assists
- A. Ghali3 goals1 assist
- P. Baráth3 goals1 assist
Bohemians 1905
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.