Sigma Olomouc
vs
Bohemians 1905
Czech Liga prediction
The model makes it 52% Sigma Olomouc, 23% draw, 25% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 1.92, 4.35 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Sigma Olomouc 1.95, Bohemians 1905 1.31.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Sigma Olomouc
- W2-1away to Slovácko15 August 2026
- W2-1away to Artis9 August 2026
- D2-2Mlada Boleslav2 August 2026
- L1-2away to FK Jablonec26 July 2026
Bohemians 1905
- W2-0away to Zlin8 August 2026
- D0-0Hradec Králové2 August 2026
- L1-3away to Teplice25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905
- 10 May 2026Sigma Olomouc 1–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 2 May 2026Bohemians 1905 1–3 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 1 March 2026Sigma Olomouc 1–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 27 September 2025Bohemians 1905 2–2 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 9 March 2025Bohemians 1905 0–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 6 October 2024Sigma Olomouc 1–3 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Sigma Olomouc carry a model rating of 6.7 against 6.65 for Bohemians 1905. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Sigma Olomouc L-D-W-W; Bohemians 1905 L-D-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.95 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.31 for Bohemians 1905. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Sigma Olomouc rate 0.84 in attack and 1.14 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Bohemians 1905 rate 0.82 and 1.23.
That points to 63% for over two and a half goals and 63% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Sigma Olomouc the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.95 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc against 1.31 for Bohemians 1905. Sigma Olomouc's attack/defence rating is 0.84/1.14 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.82/1.23 for Bohemians 1905.