Artis
vs
Plzen
Czech Liga prediction
The model makes it 27% Artis, 22% draw, 51% Plzen — fair odds of 3.70, 4.55 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Artis 1.46, Plzen 2.05.
Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Artis
- L0-1away to Baník Ostrava16 August 2026
- L1-2Sigma Olomouc9 August 2026
- D1-1away to Slovácko1 August 2026
- L2-4Mlada Boleslav27 July 2026
Plzen
- W3-2Zlin15 August 2026
- D5-5away to Teplice8 August 2026
- D1-1Zbrojovka Brno1 August 2026
- L1-3Slovan Liberec25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Artis | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 |
| 10 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Artis vs Plzen
- 27 June 2026Plzen 4–2 ArtisFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers
Artis
- Q. Adediran2 goals1 assists
Plzen
- C. Kabongo3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Artis carry a model rating of 6.42 against 6.73 for Plzen. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Artis L-D-L-L; Plzen L-D-D-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.46 goals for Artis and 2.05 for Plzen. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Artis rate 0.71 in attack and 1.70 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Plzen rate 0.86 and 1.09.
That points to 68% for over two and a half goals and 67% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Plzen the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.46 expected goals for Artis against 2.05 for Plzen. Artis's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.7 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.86/1.09 for Plzen.