Slavia Praha vs Pardubice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Praha 2-1 Pardubice.
Before kick-off the model made it 84% Slavia Praha, 10% draw, 6% Pardubice — fair odds of 1.19, 10.00 and 16.67.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Slavia Praha at 84%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Pardubice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35Jakub MarkovičG
- 3Tomáš HolešD
- 6Ange N'GuessanD
- 4David ZimaD
- 43Elias PitakM
- 30Wiktor NowakM
- 23Michal SadílekM
- 15Mubarak SuleimanM
- 17Lukáš ProvodF
- 10Danijel ŠturmF
- 13Mojmír ChytilF
- 2Štěpán ChaloupekD
- 16David MosesM
- 32Pavel KačorM
- 20Emmanuel AyaosiM
- 26Ivan SchranzF
- 29Nazar DomchakG
- 14Samuel IsifeD
- 42Mikuláš KonečnýD
- 12Youssoupha MbodjiD
- 46Vladimir NeumanG
- 43Jason NoslinD
- 44Simon BammensD
- 12Jan TrédlD
- 15Emmanuel GodwinM
- 8Samuel ŠimekM
- 24Tomáš SolilM
- 40Tobias BoledovicM
- 20Abdoull TankoF
- 9Daniel SmékalF
- 10Vojtěch PatrákF
- 19Michal HlavatýM
- 6Marek IchaD
- 17Václav DrchalF
- 99KahuanF
- 35Victor SamuelF
- 1Jáchym ŠerákG
- 92Bohdan SlyubykD
- 27Martin ReilD
- 7Dominique SimonM
Form going into Slavia Praha vs Pardubice
Slavia Praha
All competitions we cover
- W4-0away to Baník Ostrava1 August 2026
- W5-1Slovácko26 July 2026
Pardubice
All competitions we cover
- L0-2FK Jablonec2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Hradec Králové26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 34 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Pardubice
- 1 February 2026Pardubice 1–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 23 August 2025Slavia Praha 3–1 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 8 February 2025Pardubice 0–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 1 September 2024Slavia Praha 2–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 29 June 2024Slavia Praha 1–1 PardubiceFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Pardubice
Slavia Praha
GoalsAssists
- M. Chytil61
- E. Ayaosi53
- W. Nowak51
Pardubice
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slavia Praha beat Pardubice 2–1. The model had made a win for Slavia Praha its most likely outcome, at 84%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: Mojmír Chytil 50' for Slavia Praha, Tomáš Solil 52' for Pardubice, Mojmír Chytil 80' for Slavia Praha. On expected goals it finished 2.77–0.56.