Paks vs Budapest Honved NB I prediction & result
Final score: Paks 2-2 Budapest Honved.
Before kick-off the model made it 77% Paks, 12% draw, 11% Budapest Honved — fair odds of 1.30, 8.33 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Paks at 77%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Paks vs Budapest Honved
Line-ups
- 1A. KovacsikG
- 12G. VasD
- 30J. SzaboD
- 20M. ZekeD
- 14E. SilyeM
- 17M. PetoM
- 18G. GyurkitsM
- 21K. PappM
- 4A. LapuM
- 7J. Szalai
- 27J. GalambosF
- 28M. GyetvanG
- 13D. BodeF
- 8B. BaloghM
- 5B. VecseiM
- 29B. TothF
- 26M. SzekszardiD
- 19K. HorvathM
- 6M. Gyorfi
- 16B. WiesnerF
- 83T. TujvelG
- 72K. KallaiD
- 4A. SzaboD
- 52D. BoldorD
- 11S. HangyaD
- 8A. SomogyiM
- 5D. CsontosM
- 7A. ZuigeberM
- 30T. SomogyiM
- 40A. SzamosiM
- 19A. AlicF
- 1G. DuzsG
- 31O. HadzikicG
- 49B. PauljevicD
- 23Z. MedgyesF
- 99I. PekarD
- 71K. KantorF
- 9A. GyurcsoF
- 15B. CsonkaD
- 17P. PinteF
Form going into Paks vs Budapest Honved
Paks
All competitions we cover
- L2-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE3 August 2026
- D2-2away to Panathinaikos30 July 2026
- W4-2Ferencvarosi TC26 July 2026
- L1-2Panathinaikos23 July 2026
Budapest Honved
All competitions we cover
- D3-3MTK Budapest1 August 2026
- D1-1away to Kisvarda FC25 July 2026
What these results say
- Paks scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Paks conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Paks had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paks | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 | Budapest Honved | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Paks vs Budapest Honved
- 31 October 2024Budapest Honved 1–5 PaksMagyar Kupa
- 2 November 2023Budapest Honved 2–2 PaksMagyar Kupa
- 1 April 2023Budapest Honved 1–2 PaksNB I
- 6 November 2022Paks 5–0 Budapest HonvedNB I
- 14 August 2022Budapest Honved 3–3 PaksNB I
Leading scorers: Paks and Budapest Honved
Paks
GoalsAssists
- M. Pető61
- J. Szalai61
Budapest Honved
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Paks and Budapest Honved drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Paks at 77% and given a draw 12%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goals: M. Peto 59' for Paks, T. Somogyi 68' for Budapest Honved, J. Szalai 79' for Paks, D. Csontos (penalty) 90' for Budapest Honved.