Skalica
vs
Slovan Bratislava
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Skalica 0–1 Slovan Bratislava
The model makes it 23% Skalica, 28% draw, 49% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 4.35, 3.57 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Skalica 0.93, Slovan Bratislava 1.88.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Skalica are 8th on 8 points from 9 games; Slovan Bratislava are 4th on 16 points from 8 games — Super Liga.
- Skalica have not won in their last 5, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Podbrezová.
- Slovan Bratislava have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 2-1 win away to Komárno.
- Last 6 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 6 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 22 November 2025, ended Skalica 0–1 Slovan Bratislava.
All Slovak Super Liga predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Bratislava at 49% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava
Skalica
- L0-1Podbrezová20 September 2026
- L2-3away to Dukla Banská Bystrica12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Komárno5 September 2026
- L1-6Dunajska Streda30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Zemplín Michalovce22 August 2026
Slovan Bratislava
- W2-1away to Komárno19 September 2026
- D3-3Žilina13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Dunajska Streda5 September 2026
- L1-2Zemplín Michalovce30 August 2026
- W2-1away to FK Košice22 August 2026
What these results say
- Skalica did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Skalica conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Slovan Bratislava had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Skalica | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava
- 22 November 2025Skalica 0–1 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 16 August 2025Slovan Bratislava 1–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 9 November 2024Slovan Bratislava 3–1 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 30 October 2024Skalica 2–3 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 12 November 2023Slovan Bratislava 1–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 12 August 2023Skalica 1–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
A clear gap in the ratings
Skalica carry a model rating of 6.17 against 6.67 for Slovan Bratislava. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.93 goals for Skalica and 1.88 for Slovan Bratislava. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Skalica rate 0.48 in attack and 1.88 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Slovan Bratislava rate 0.83 and 1.19.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Skalica a 0% chance of the title and Slovan Bratislava 19.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slovan Bratislava the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.93 expected goals for Skalica against 1.88 for Slovan Bratislava. Skalica's attack/defence rating is 0.48/1.88 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.83/1.19 for Slovan Bratislava.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Skalica at home · Slovan Bratislava away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Skalica 9, Slovan Bratislava 8.
Slovan Bratislava score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Skalica have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Skalica
- vs AS Trencin17 Oct · Super Ligawin 42%
- vs Spartak Trnava24 Oct · Super Ligawin 26%
- at Ružomberok1 Nov · Super Ligawin 31%
- vs Žilina7 Nov · Super Ligawin 30%
- at FK Košice21 Nov · Super Ligawin 24%
Slovan Bratislava
- vs VfB Stuttgart14 Oct · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 32%
- at Spartak Trnava17 Oct · Super Ligawin 33%
- at AS Roma20 Oct · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 9%
- vs Dukla Banská Bystrica24 Oct · Super Ligawin 66%
- at AS Trencin28 Oct · Super Ligawin 51%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.