FK Košice
vs
Komárno
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: FK Košice 2–1 Komárno
The model makes it 48% FK Košice, 27% draw, 25% Komárno — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: FK Košice 1.93, Komárno 1.04.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Key facts
- FK Košice are 7th on 12 points from 8 games; Komárno are 10th on 5 points from 9 games — Super Liga.
- FK Košice have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Ružomberok.
- Komárno have not won in their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Slovan Bratislava.
- Last 6 meetings: FK Košice 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 10 May 2026, ended FK Košice 2–1 Komárno.
All Slovak Super Liga predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: FK Košice vs Komárno
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FK Košice at 48% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FK Košice vs Komárno
FK Košice
- W2-0Ružomberok19 September 2026
- L2-5away to Spartak Trnava12 September 2026
- W3-0Dukla Banská Bystrica6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Podbrezová29 August 2026
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava22 August 2026
Komárno
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Podbrezová13 September 2026
- D0-0Skalica5 September 2026
- D2-2away to Dukla Banská Bystrica29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Žilina23 August 2026
What these results say
- FK Košice scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FK Košice had three goals or more.
- Komárno did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Komárno scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Komárno conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FK Košice | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Komárno | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: FK Košice vs Komárno
- 10 May 2026FK Košice 2–1 KomárnoSuper Liga
- 12 April 2026Komárno 1–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 14 December 2025Komárno 1–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 13 September 2025FK Košice 2–3 KomárnoSuper Liga
- 1 December 2024Komárno 1–1 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 24 August 2024FK Košice 0–1 KomárnoSuper Liga
The two sides
FK Košice carry a model rating of 6.37 against 6.21 for Komárno. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.93 goals for FK Košice and 1.04 for Komárno. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FK Košice rate 0.75 in attack and 2.05 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Komárno rate 0.42 and 1.58.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FK Košice a 0.2% chance of the title and Komárno 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FK Košice the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.93 expected goals for FK Košice against 1.04 for Komárno. FK Košice's attack/defence rating is 0.75/2.05 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.42/1.58 for Komárno.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FK Košice at home · Komárno away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: FK Košice 8, Komárno 9.
FK Košice score most often in the 31–45 minute window (5 goals); Komárno have let in 2 there.
Komárno score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); FK Košice have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
FK Košice
- at Zemplín Michalovce18 Oct · Super Ligawin 32%
- vs Žilina25 Oct · Super Ligawin 38%
- vs Dunajska Streda28 Oct · Super Ligawin 27%
- at AS Trencin31 Oct · Super Ligawin 39%
- at Dunajska Streda7 Nov · Super Ligawin 17%
Komárno
- vs Ružomberok17 Oct · Super Ligawin 42%
- vs AS Trencin25 Oct · Super Ligawin 42%
- at Spartak Trnava31 Oct · Super Ligawin 18%
- vs Zemplín Michalovce8 Nov · Super Ligawin 35%
- at Dunajska Streda21 Nov · Super Ligawin 14%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.