Silkeborg vs FC Copenhagen Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Silkeborg 1-3 FC Copenhagen.
Before kick-off the model made it 23% Silkeborg, 21% draw, 56% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 4.35, 4.76 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Copenhagen at 56% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Silkeborg vs FC Copenhagen
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. AndresenG
- 24A. PriesborgD
- 3R. OstromD
- 29W. Lokke
- 19J. GammelbyM
- 20M. LarsenM
- 27W. KirkM
- 7V. WesthM
- 17C. McCowattF
- 11O. RossF
- 22R. Al HajjF
- 16B. Holm
- 36J. LoretsM
- 28S. StukerD
- 10Y. BakizM
- 14S. BergerM
- 15M. JonssonD
- 9A. SimmelhackF
- 21L. RiisgaardF
- 23M. HansenF
- 1D. KotarskiG
- 20J. SuzukiD
- 5Gabriel PereiraD
- 2F. BeijmoD
- 15M. LopezD
- 21M. MadsenM
- 36W. ClemM
- 11J. LarssonM
- 10M. ElyounoussiM
- 16RobertM
- 9Y. MoukokoF
- 31R. A. RunarssonG
- 27T. DelaneyM
- 33A. KralM
- 24B. MelingD
- 45G. OlsenF
- 14A. CorneliusF
- 4M. GaranangaD
- 34M. NasnasM
- 44G. Vianney NdjeeF
Form going into Silkeborg vs FC Copenhagen
Silkeborg
- D1-1away to Randers FC27 July 2026
FC Copenhagen
- W2-1Polessya29 July 2026
- W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026
- D3-3away to Polessya23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Silkeborg | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Silkeborg vs FC Copenhagen
- 2 August 2026Silkeborg 1–3 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 10 May 2026Silkeborg 0–4 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 5 April 2026FC Copenhagen 7–0 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 17 October 2025Silkeborg 3–1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 21 September 2025FC Copenhagen 3–3 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 29 May 2025FC Copenhagen 3–0 SilkeborgDBU Pokalen
Leading scorers: Silkeborg and FC Copenhagen
Silkeborg
- C. McCowatt2 goals2 assists
- O. Ross2 goals1 assists
FC Copenhagen
- M. Elyounoussi6 goals2 assists
- B. Meling4 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.