FC Midtjylland
vs
AC Horsens
The model makes it 56% FC Midtjylland, 22% draw, 22% AC Horsens — fair odds of 1.79, 4.55 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: FC Midtjylland 2.10, AC Horsens 1.28.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens
- 14 May 2023FC Midtjylland 3–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
- 23 April 2023AC Horsens 0–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 16 October 2022FC Midtjylland 2–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
- 12 August 2022AC Horsens 3–3 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 14 February 2021FC Midtjylland 1–0 AC HorsensSuperliga
- 4 October 2020AC Horsens 2–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Midtjylland the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.1 expected goals for FC Midtjylland against 1.28 for AC Horsens. FC Midtjylland's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.68 for AC Horsens.