2 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens Superliga prediction & result

MCH Arena, Herning
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-1 AC Horsens.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% FC Midtjylland, 22% draw, 22% AC Horsens — fair odds of 1.79, 4.55 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Midtjylland at 56% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Midtjylland96%Draw4%AC Horsens0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
A. Saine
⚽Franculinoassist: V. Byskov
33'
⚽F. Etimassist: D. Osorio
45'
🔁J. Emefileout: D. Castillo
46'
58'
Y. Ouorou
59'
O. Kolskogen
Franculino
61'
62'
🔁Y. Ouorouout: J. Tauriainen
62'
🔁K. Kirkegaardout: K. Ehibhatiomhan
62'
🔁K. Lusavecout: A. Moro
🔁F. Etimout: Cho Gue-Sung
63'
🔁V. Byskovout: S. Johannesen
71'
🔁Franculinoout: S. Iheanacho
71'
78'
⚽K. Ehibhatiomhanassist: J. Tauriainen
R. Kristensen
80'
84'
🔁M. Kupijbidaout: S. Hausner
🔁P. Billingout: A. Gabriel
88'
90+1'
🔁V. Palssonout: I. Milicevic

Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens

58%Possession42%
19Shots4
7On target2
7Corners3
1.66xG0.34

Goals against chances

FC Midtjylland2 from 1.66 xGabout what the chances were worth
AC Horsens1 from 0.34 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Midtjylland 3-1-4-2
  • 1E. OlafssonG
  • 5R. KristensenD
  • 6M. ErlicD
  • 22M. B. SorensenD
  • 19P. BravoM
  • 11D. OsorioM
  • 8P. BillingM
  • 20V. ByskovM
  • 38J. EmefileM
  • 7FranculinoF
  • 90F. EtimF
Substitutes
  • 25N. BakkerG
  • 10Cho Gue-SungF
  • 29K. WatjenM
  • 27S. JohannesenM
  • 18S. IheanachoF
  • 13A. GabrielD
  • 21D. CastilloM
  • 15D. Beni
  • 34A. Ndiaye
Coach: Mike Tullberg
AC Horsens
  • 1M. DelacG
  • 26V. PalssonD
  • 35M. KupijbidaD
  • 24O. KolskogenD
  • 28A. SaineD
  • 17A. HerdonssonM
  • 20K. LusavecM
  • 27Y. OuorouM
  • 14J. MadsenM
  • 10K. KirkegaardM
  • 15A. JustinussenF
Substitutes
  • 31A. HoffG
  • 29F. BrandhofM
  • 4S. HausnerD
  • 30S. DouaD
  • 19J. TauriainenM
  • 18J. KorkkoF
  • 7I. MilicevicD
  • 11K. EhibhatiomhanF
  • 16A. MoroM

Form going into FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens

FC Midtjylland

  • L0-2Beşiktaş30 July 2026
  • W3-2away to Sonderjyske26 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Beşiktaş23 July 2026

AC Horsens

  • D1-1FC Nordsjaelland26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Midtjylland8530168+818
6AC Horsens83141314-110

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens

  • 2 August 2026FC Midtjylland 2–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 14 May 2023FC Midtjylland 3–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 23 April 2023AC Horsens 0–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 16 October 2022FC Midtjylland 2–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 12 August 2022AC Horsens 3–3 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 14 February 2021FC Midtjylland 1–0 AC HorsensSuperliga

Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and AC Horsens

FC Midtjylland

  • F. Etim3 goals2 assists
  • S. Iheanacho3 goals1 assists

AC Horsens

  • K. Ehibhatiomhan4 goals
  • Y. Ouorou2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.