FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-1 AC Horsens.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% FC Midtjylland, 22% draw, 22% AC Horsens — fair odds of 1.79, 4.55 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Midtjylland at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1E. OlafssonG
- 5R. KristensenD
- 6M. ErlicD
- 22M. B. SorensenD
- 19P. BravoM
- 11D. OsorioM
- 8P. BillingM
- 20V. ByskovM
- 38J. EmefileM
- 7FranculinoF
- 90F. EtimF
- 25N. BakkerG
- 10Cho Gue-SungF
- 29K. WatjenM
- 27S. JohannesenM
- 18S. IheanachoF
- 13A. GabrielD
- 21D. CastilloM
- 15D. Beni
- 34A. Ndiaye
- 1M. DelacG
- 26V. PalssonD
- 35M. KupijbidaD
- 24O. KolskogenD
- 28A. SaineD
- 17A. HerdonssonM
- 20K. LusavecM
- 27Y. OuorouM
- 14J. MadsenM
- 10K. KirkegaardM
- 15A. JustinussenF
- 31A. HoffG
- 29F. BrandhofM
- 4S. HausnerD
- 30S. DouaD
- 19J. TauriainenM
- 18J. KorkkoF
- 7I. MilicevicD
- 11K. EhibhatiomhanF
- 16A. MoroM
Form going into FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens
FC Midtjylland
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Beşiktaş30 July 2026
- W3-2away to Sonderjyske26 July 2026
- L0-1away to Beşiktaş23 July 2026
AC Horsens
All competitions we cover
- D1-1FC Nordsjaelland26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 13 | +11 | 28 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens
- 14 May 2023FC Midtjylland 3–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
- 23 April 2023AC Horsens 0–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 16 October 2022FC Midtjylland 2–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
- 12 August 2022AC Horsens 3–3 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 14 February 2021FC Midtjylland 1–0 AC HorsensSuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and AC Horsens
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- F. Etim63
AC Horsens
GoalsAssists
- K. Ehibhatiomhan40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Midtjylland beat AC Horsens 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC Midtjylland at 56%. The goals: Franculino 33' for FC Midtjylland, F. Etim 45' for FC Midtjylland, K. Ehibhatiomhan 78' for AC Horsens. On expected goals it finished 1.66–0.34.