FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Randers FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% FC Nordsjaelland, 25% draw, 23% Randers FC — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 52% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13A. HansenG
- 15S. AcquahD
- 3T. SalquistD
- 36C. YirenkyiD
- 23R. NorheimM
- 6M. BrinkM
- 8N. RojkjaerM
- 25J. LahteenmakiM
- 37L. SadioF
- 14I. AdelF
- 10P. AmoakoF
- 31A. SondenbroeG
- 2P. AnkersenD
- 32V. GustafsenD
- 40H. Rasmussen
- 29V. BerthelsenM
- 4N. MarkmannD
- 47M. HeydeM
- 18J. JanssenM
- 28M. WalkerD
- 32J. StorchG
- 2L. LissensD
- 3D. HoeghD
- 4W. DammersD
- 15M. SjolstadD
- 8L. PedersenM
- 6J. BjorkengrenM
- 11E. MahmoudM
- 17M. GreveM
- 7M. ThemsenM
- 30M. SankohF
- 22M. DemirciG
- 77K. JunkerF
- 14F. LauenborgM
- 33C. EdudziF
- 44N. DyhrD
- 23B. OrnD
- 24S. HansenM
- 26H. LuxM
- 31F. SommerD
Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC
FC Nordsjaelland
- W6-0Gais30 July 2026
- D1-1away to AC Horsens26 July 2026
- L0-1away to Gais23 July 2026
Randers FC
- D1-1Silkeborg27 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 7 | Randers FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC
- 2 August 2026FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 Randers FCSuperliga
- 19 October 2025FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 Randers FCSuperliga
- 22 September 2025Randers FC 3–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 2 May 2025Randers FC 3–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 13 April 2025FC Nordsjaelland 5–2 Randers FCSuperliga
- 28 October 2024Randers FC 4–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and Randers FC
FC Nordsjaelland
- H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists
Randers FC
- M. Themsen3 goals1 assists
- E. Mahmoud2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.