Brondby vs Viborg Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Brondby 1-0 Viborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Brondby, 23% draw, 27% Viborg — fair odds of 2.00, 4.35 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brondby at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brondby vs Viborg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1P. PentzG
- 2O. VilladsenD
- 30J. VanlerbergheD
- 4L. BinksD
- 27M. KohlertD
- 99B. SliszM
- 18M. EjdumM
- 21M. YounisM
- 29M. Frokjaer-JensenM
- 11F. BundgaardM
- 9P. MortensenF
- 50W. Sonne SchmidG
- 10D. WassM
- 7O. HyseniF
- 42M. JensenM
- 38J. AmbaekF
- 32F. AlvesD
- 19S. FukudaF
- 51O. FengerF
- 37R. CanutD
- 20K. KiilerichG
- 30S. KuzmicD
- 32L. KirkegaardD
- 5Z. ZaletelD
- 23O. BundgaardD
- 10T. JorgensenM
- 13J. GronningM
- 29S. JalalM
- 11C. NouckM
- 8A. BeckM
- 19D. HanzaF
- 1L. LundG
- 24D. AnyembeD
- 17O. AddoF
- 36A. Kleis-KristoffersenF
- 6M. SondergaardM
- 21B. BrahimiM
- 26H. BidstrupD
- 33F. Damkjer
- 34P. KellerM
Form going into Brondby vs Viborg
Brondby
- D1-1away to Aarhus25 July 2026
Viborg
- W1-0Odense24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brondby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
| 4 | Viborg | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brondby vs Viborg
- 2 August 2026Brondby 1–0 ViborgSuperliga
- 22 April 2026Viborg 0–1 BrondbySuperliga
- 15 March 2026Brondby 0–1 ViborgSuperliga
- 15 February 2026Viborg 1–0 BrondbySuperliga
- 3 August 2025Brondby 0–2 ViborgSuperliga
- 14 February 2025Brondby 4–1 ViborgSuperliga
Leading scorers: Brondby and Viborg
Brondby
- M. Frøkjær-Jensen2 goals1 assists
Viborg
- A. Beck3 goals
- M. Søndergaard2 goals2 assists
- C. Nouck2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.