Odense vs Sonderjyske Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Odense 1-0 Sonderjyske.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Odense, 24% draw, 29% Sonderjyske — fair odds of 2.13, 4.17 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Odense at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Odense vs Sonderjyske
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16V. MyhraG
- 15M. McCoyD
- 13J. AskouD
- 29J. GomezD
- 5U. JenssenD
- 3A. SorensenM
- 6J. BondeM
- 22I. OuedraogoM
- 9T. KeskinenM
- 17N. GanausF
- 7F. ArpF
- 1M. HansenG
- 8R. FalkM
- 2P. TherkildsenD
- 11J. NiemiecF
- 28M. AndersenD
- 19N. Juul-SandbergM
- 40N. LassenM
- 21V. FriisM
- 26L. LegolasF
- 16M. BundgaardG
- 12M. SoulasD
- 5M. JensenD
- 4D. L. GretarssonD
- 3S. WaeverM
- 7S. EminiM
- 10M. OlesenM
- 23E. DuruM
- 8M. HaidaraF
- 11A. LyngF
- 9M. HoppeF
- 1N. FloG
- 22A. OggesenM
- 14T. HaltvikF
- 30G. WagnerD
- 31I. Seydi
- 32D. BoisonF
- 13D. WilkinsD
- 15L. QamiliF
- 28A. BergholtM
Form going into Odense vs Sonderjyske
Odense
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Viborg24 July 2026
Sonderjyske
All competitions we cover
- L2-3FC Midtjylland26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Odense | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Odense vs Sonderjyske
- 1 March 2026Sonderjyske 1–0 OdenseSuperliga
- 3 October 2025Odense 1–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 27 June 2025Odense 0–2 SonderjyskeFriendlies Clubs
- 19 March 2025Odense 1–0 SonderjyskeFriendlies Clubs
- 10 January 2025Sonderjyske 2–3 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Odense and Sonderjyske
Odense
GoalsAssists
- N. Ganaus40
Sonderjyske
GoalsAssists
- M. Haidara50
- O. De Rosario32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Odense beat Sonderjyske 1–0. The model had made a win for Odense its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: N. Ganaus 81' for Odense. On expected goals it finished 2.10–0.64.