23 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Paide vs Zira UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Paide 1-0 Zira.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Paide, 49% draw, 24% Zira — fair odds of 3.70, 2.04 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

S. Luts
36'
60'
🔁Guimaout: I. Ibrahimli
60'
🔁Martins Juniorout: C. Digbeu
N. Baranov
62'
75'
🔁I. Djibrillaout: A. Mutsinzi
75'
🔁Vieirinhaout: G. Papunashvili
77'
A. Seydiyev
🔁M. P. Sohnaout: Daniel Cabral
77'
🔁M. Millerout: H. Ojamaa
79'
🔁A. Badamosiout: H. Anier
79'
🔁S. Lutsout: P. A. Cham
79'
🔁D. Lutsout: K. Piht
86'
87'
🔁E. Aydinout: E. Bogomolskiy
⚽P. A. Chamassist: H. Anier
87'

Line-ups

Paide
  • 99E. Jarju
  • 7E. Tur
  • 27N. Baranov
  • 3Victor Hugo
  • 2M. Lilander
  • 11M. P. Sohna
  • 28O. Hoim
  • 10M. Miller
  • 77D. Luts
  • 30A. Badamosi
  • 19S. Luts
Substitutes
  • 56M. Sapp
  • 4Andrade
  • 6Daniel Cabral
  • 8H. Ojamaa
  • 9H. Anier
  • 14M. Jobarteh
  • 15H. Ojamaa
  • 16A. Surogin
  • 17P. A. Cham
Coach: Tarmo Kink
Zira
  • 13A. Bayramov
  • 32Q. Aliyev
  • 2A. Seydiyev
  • 4Ruan Renato
  • 20I. Djibrilla
  • 21Guima
  • 17Vieirinha
  • 7E. Aydin
  • 93B. Konate
  • 11Martins Junior
  • 9D. Volkovi
Substitutes
  • 72H. Quliyev
  • 99S. Hashimov
  • 5A. Mutsinzi
  • 8I. Ibrahimli
  • 10G. Papunashvili
  • 14E. Alicanov
  • 22A. Guseynov
  • 29C. Digbeu
  • 77E. Bogomolskiy
Coach: Rashad Sadiqov

Head-to-head: Paide vs Zira

  • 23 July 2026Paide 1–0 ZiraUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.