3 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth League One prediction & result

Brisbane Road, London
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Leyton Orient 0-2 Plymouth.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Leyton Orient, 28% draw, 37% Plymouth — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Plymouth at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Leyton Orient0%Draw1%Plymouth99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
Thomas William Cleverley
Alexander George Henry Gilbert
45+1'
Tony Springett
49'
52'
⚽Aribim Peppleassist: Bradley Ibrahim
56'
⚽Will Evansassist: Ronan Curtis
🔁Tony Springettout: Aaron Connolly
59'
🔁Charlie Wellensout: Isaac Hayden
59'
🔁Jaze Kabiaout: Armando Dobra
70'
🔁Yusuf Akhamrichout: Dane Scarlett
70'
72'
🔁Joe Edwardsout: Matthew Sorinola
76'
Mathias Ross Jensen
81'
🔁Oliver Irowout: Caleb Watts
84'
Bradley Ibrahim
🔁Phillip Chineduout: Theodore Archibald
84'
88'
🔁Ronan Curtisout: Xavier Amaechi
88'
🔁Aribim Peppleout: Jack Mackenzie

Match stats — Leyton Orient vs Plymouth

57%Possession43%
11Shots20
4On target7
4Corners7

Line-ups

Leyton Orient 4-1-4-1
  • 1N. BaxterG
  • 2F. StevensD
  • 5J. OlowuD
  • 6W. ForresterD
  • 34P. ChineduD
  • 20A. GilbertM
  • 22Y. AkhamrichM
  • 25Charlie Gerard Richard WellensM
  • 8I. El MizouniM
  • 27T. SpringettM
  • 9J. KabiaF
Substitutes
  • 10A. ConnollyF
  • 17A. DobraF
  • 12A. GilchristD
  • 33Killian CahillG
  • 14I. HaydenM
  • 18D. ScarlettF
  • 44T. ArchibaldM
Coach: R. Wellens
Plymouth 4-4-2
  • 1M. MahoneyG
  • 8J. EdwardsD
  • 2M. RossD
  • 15A. MitchellD
  • 45W. HardingD
  • 11R. CurtisM
  • 23B. IbrahimM
  • 7H. WhiteM
  • 14O. IrowM
  • 9W. EvansF
  • 27A. PeppleF
Substitutes
  • 38Seb CampbellM
  • 3Jack MackenzieD
  • 42Jared RendleF
  • 29M. SorinolaD
  • 21James StorerG
  • 17C. WattsM
  • 10X. AmaechiF
Coach: Tom Cleverley

Form going into Leyton Orient vs Plymouth

Leyton Orient

No earlier matches on record this season.

Plymouth

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Burton Albion26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Leyton Orient135261914+517
5Plymouth147252119+223

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Leyton Orient vs Plymouth

  • 17 February 2026Leyton Orient 1–3 PlymouthLeague One
  • 2 December 2025Leyton Orient 0–1 PlymouthEFL Trophy
  • 19 August 2025Plymouth 0–1 Leyton OrientLeague One
  • 8 August 2023Plymouth 2–0 Leyton OrientLeague Cup
  • 15 September 2020Leyton Orient 3–2 PlymouthLeague Cup

Leading scorers: Leyton Orient and Plymouth

Leyton Orient

GoalsAssists

  • J. Kabia42

Plymouth

GoalsAssists

  • A. Pepple50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Plymouth won 2–0 at Leyton Orient. The model had made a win for Plymouth its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Aribim Pepple 52' for Plymouth, Will Evans 56' for Plymouth.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.