Servette FC
vs
FC Vaduz
Super League prediction
Our model says: Servette FC 2–1 FC Vaduz
The model makes it 46% Servette FC, 24% draw, 30% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Servette FC 1.97, FC Vaduz 1.48.
Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Servette FC are 6th on 13 points from 10 games; FC Vaduz are 10th on 9 points from 10 games — Super League.
- Servette FC have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to FC Sion.
- FC Vaduz have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to FC Basel 1893.
- Last 6 meetings: Servette FC 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 15 May 2021, ended FC Vaduz 1–3 Servette FC.
More Swiss Super League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Servette FC vs FC Vaduz
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Servette FC at 46% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Servette FC vs FC Vaduz
Servette FC
- W3-0FC Sion10 October 2026
- L2-3away to BSC Young Boys19 September 2026
- W4-2away to FC Thun16 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lausanne13 September 2026
- L0-2FC St. Gallen6 September 2026
FC Vaduz
- W3-0FC Basel 189311 October 2026
- L1-2FC Thun20 September 2026
- L1-2away to FC Zurich13 September 2026
- W3-1Lausanne5 September 2026
- L1-2away to FC Luzern2 September 2026
What these results say
- Servette FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Vaduz scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for FC Vaduz had three goals or more.
- FC Vaduz conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Servette FC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Servette FC
Chance to finish in the top four · 32% today
FC Vaduz
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 21% today
From our Super League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Servette FC vs FC Vaduz
- 15 May 2021FC Vaduz 1–3 Servette FCSuper League
- 21 March 2021Servette FC 1–2 FC VaduzSuper League
- 23 December 2020Servette FC 1–1 FC VaduzSuper League
- 9 December 2020FC Vaduz 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
- 23 May 2019FC Vaduz 1–5 Servette FCChallenge League
- 2 February 2019Servette FC 2–0 FC VaduzChallenge League
Leading scorers: Servette FC and FC Vaduz
Servette FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Mutandwa40
FC Vaduz
GoalsAssists
- M. Monsberger61
- L. Dalipi49
- Juan Cabrera40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Servette FC carry a model rating of 6.55 against 6.52 for FC Vaduz. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.97 goals for Servette FC and 1.48 for FC Vaduz. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Servette FC rate 0.67 in attack and 1.23 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Vaduz rate 0.80 and 1.58.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Servette FC the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.97 expected goals for Servette FC against 1.48 for FC Vaduz. Servette FC's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.58 for FC Vaduz.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Servette FC at home · FC Vaduz away
League matches only, Super League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Servette FCFC Vaduz
Servette FC are 4th after 10 Super League matches (between 4th and 12th so far); FC Vaduz are 10th after 10 (between 8th and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League matches this season: Servette FC 10, FC Vaduz 10.
FC Vaduz score most often in the 46–60 minute window (6 goals); Servette FC have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Servette FC
- at FC St. Gallen31 Oct · Super Leaguewin 33%
- vs FC Zurich8 Nov · Super Leaguewin 54%
- at FC Sion21 Nov · Super Leaguewin 27%
- vs Lausanne28 Nov · Super Leaguewin 57%
- at FC Basel 18936 Dec · Super Leaguewin 39%
FC Vaduz
- at Grasshoppers31 Oct · Super Leaguewin 49%
- vs FC Sion7 Nov · Super Leaguewin 36%
- at Lausanne22 Nov · Super Leaguewin 46%
- vs FC Zurich28 Nov · Super Leaguewin 55%
- vs BSC Young Boys5 Dec · Super Leaguewin 35%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.