Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Sepahan FC 6-1 Fajr Sepasi.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Sepahan FC, 27% draw, 22% Fajr Sepasi — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Persian Gulf Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sepahan FC at 51% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi
Sepahan FC
- W1-0Esteghlal Khuzestan6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sanat Naft2 September 2026
- W2-0Gol Gohar28 August 2026
Fajr Sepasi
- L0-1away to Foolad FC7 September 2026
- D1-1Mes Shahr-e Babak3 September 2026
- D0-0ZOB Ahan29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sepahan FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 16 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi
- 5 December 2025Sepahan FC 2–0 Fajr SepasiPersian Gulf Pro League
- 6 March 2022Sepahan FC 2–0 Fajr SepasiPersian Gulf Pro League
- 24 November 2021Fajr Sepasi 0–2 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.