FAR Rabat
vs
Widad Témara
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: FAR Rabat 1–0 Widad Témara
The model makes it 40% FAR Rabat, 30% draw, 30% Widad Témara — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: FAR Rabat 1.44, Widad Témara 1.07.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: FAR Rabat vs Widad Témara
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FAR Rabat at 40% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 1,415 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FAR Rabat vs Widad Témara
FAR Rabat
No earlier matches on record this season.
Widad Témara
- L0-1UTS Rabat2 October 2026
- W3-1away to Wydad AC26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Widad Témara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
Where they stand. FAR Rabat has not started the league season yet. Full table
Head-to-head: FAR Rabat vs Widad Témara
- 12 September 2026FAR Rabat 3–2 Widad TémaraFriendlies Clubs
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
FAR Rabat carry a model rating of 6.45 against 6.35 for Widad Témara. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.44 goals for FAR Rabat and 1.07 for Widad Témara. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FAR Rabat rate 0.69 in attack and 1.55 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Widad Témara rate 0.62 and 1.68.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,433 correct results out of 3,044 settled predictions (47%), with 301 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FAR Rabat the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.44 expected goals for FAR Rabat against 1.07 for Widad Témara. FAR Rabat's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.55 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.68 for Widad Témara.
Next match, by difficulty
Widad Témara
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.