Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Gol Gohar 3-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Gol Gohar, 23% draw, 22% Esteghlal Khuzestan — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Persian Gulf Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gol Gohar at 55% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
Gol Gohar
- W3-2away to Shams Azar Qazvin10 September 2026
- L0-1away to Tractor Sazi5 September 2026
- L0-2Aluminium Arak1 September 2026
- L0-2away to Sepahan FC28 August 2026
Esteghlal Khuzestan
- W1-0Tractor Sazi10 September 2026
- L0-1away to Sepahan FC6 September 2026
- D1-1Chadormalu SC1 September 2026
- D0-0away to Paykan28 August 2026
What these results say
- Gol Gohar conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Gol Gohar failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Gol Gohar failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Esteghlal Khuzestan had two goals or fewer.
- Esteghlal Khuzestan failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 16 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
- 28 November 2025Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–1 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 25 January 2025Esteghlal Khuzestan 1–1 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 22 August 2024Gol Gohar 2–0 Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 18 April 2024Gol Gohar 2–2 Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 3 November 2023Esteghlal Khuzestan 1–1 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.