Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Sarmiento Junin 2-0 Huracan.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Sarmiento Junin, 24% draw, 30% Huracan — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Sarmiento Junin at 46%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12T. AyalaG
- 8S. SalleD
- 44R. OrihuelaD
- 2J. InsaurraldeD
- 3L. SuarezD
- 19J. ContreraM
- 23E. GimenezM
- 16M. MartinezM
- 21J. MavillaM
- 27J. MarabelF
- 24J. HerreraF
- 1I. ArboledaG
- 77N. PasquiniD
- 20U. GimenezD
- 6G. ArturiaD
- 33G. DiazD
- 29T. SantamariaD
- 10J. RenteriaM
- 17A. NadruzM
- 5M. GarciaM
- 1H. GalindezG
- 2L. BlondelD
- 21H. NervoD
- 35M. PalazzoD
- 19L. LescanoD
- 24F. KalingerM
- 5Rodrigo FernandezM
- 8L. GilM
- 17J. Bisanz
- 9J. CaicedoF
- 7O. CortesF
- 32S. MezaG
- 6F. PereyraD
- 4F. VeraD
- 34I. CampoD
- 51M. SotoD
- 46F. MartinezD
- 11T. PeraltaM
- 10O. RomeroM
- 41L. MoraF
Form going into Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Atletico Tucuman8 August 2026
- W2-1Independiente Rivadavia3 August 2026
- L2-3away to Banfield28 July 2026
- L2-3Argentinos Juniors23 July 2026
Huracan
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to San Lorenzo9 August 2026
- D0-0Atletico Tucuman4 August 2026
- L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia30 July 2026
- W1-0Banfield25 July 2026
What these results say
- Sarmiento Junin scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sarmiento Junin conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Sarmiento Junin had three goals or more.
- Huracan scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Huracan kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Huracan had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan
- 14 February 2026Huracan 1–0 Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
- 5 October 2024Huracan 3–1 Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21 May 2023Sarmiento Junin 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 August 2022Huracan 4–1 Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
- 13 September 2021Sarmiento Junin 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 13 April 2021Huracan 3–0 Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Sarmiento Junin and Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
GoalsAssists
- J. Marabel145
Huracan
GoalsAssists
- J. Caicedo140
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sarmiento Junin beat Huracan 2–0. The model had made a win for Sarmiento Junin its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: J. Marabel 30' for Sarmiento Junin, L. Suarez 86' for Sarmiento Junin. Sent off: Jordy Caicedo (Huracan) 66'. On expected goals it finished 1.56–0.19.